默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Málaga v Espanyol

2026-10-09 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Málaga (主队)

预测 37.40%2.67公平赔率
EV -1.63%
优势 -0.619%
Kelly -0.998%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
37.02%37.38%37.48%38.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.492.522.6343.48%40.10%39.60%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Espanyol (客队)

预测 33.39%3.00公平赔率
EV -2.52%
优势 -0.861%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布
32.53%33.38%33.31%35.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.792.772.9239.22%35.84%36.04%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.21%3.42公平赔率
EV -0.099%
优势 -0.029%
Kelly -0.041%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.42

博彩公司预测分布
27.81%29.24%29.21%29.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.203.4233.33%31.15%31.25%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Málaga (主队):37.40%;Espanyol (客队):33.39%;平局:29.21%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.423。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.420,期望值为-0.099%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 37.46%EV -1.63%E -0.619%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.74%EV -2.52%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.81%EV -0.099%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-17 13:26
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -3.87%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.65%EV -5.52%E -1.95%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 13:10
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -3.87%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.65%EV -5.52%E -1.95%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.71%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 12:31
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 12:30
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 12:30
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 12:30
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -0.684%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 12:15
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -5.85%E -2.08%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 13:20
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -5.85%E -2.08%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 13:20
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.684%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 12:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 14:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 14:20
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.41%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 12:31
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-17 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-17 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -11.35%E -4.79%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-17 13:06
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.87%E -5.83%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-17 12:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.64%16.3%2026-09-17 13:06