Idioma:Español
Málaga v Espanyol
Resultado del partido
Málaga (Local)
Predicción 37.40%2.67momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.619%
Kelly -0.998%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.02%37.38%37.48%38.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.492.522.6343.48%40.10%39.60%38.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Espanyol (Visitante)
Predicción 33.39%3.00momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.861%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.53%33.38%33.31%35.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.792.772.9239.22%35.84%36.04%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.099%
Ventaja -0.029%
Kelly -0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%29.24%29.21%29.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.4233.33%31.15%31.25%29.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Málaga (Local): 37.40%; Espanyol (Visitante): 33.39%; Empate: 29.21%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.423. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.420, con un valor esperado de -0.099%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.46%EV -1.63%E -0.619%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.74%EV -2.52%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.81%EV -0.099%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-17 13:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -3.87%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.65%EV -5.52%E -1.95%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -3.87%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.65%EV -5.52%E -1.95%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.71%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 12:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -0.684%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -5.85%E -2.08%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.48%EV -5.85%E -2.08%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 13:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.684%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 12:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-17 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-17 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.41%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.52%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-17 12:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 13:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 12:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.19%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-17 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -11.35%E -4.79%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.86%E -3.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-17 13:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.87%E -5.83%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-17 12:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.05% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 33.31% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.64% | 16.3% | 2026-09-17 13:06 |