Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Málaga v Deportivo La Coruña

2026-08-24 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Málaga (Local)

Prediction 37.72%2.65fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%37.72%37.60%38.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.5844.44%40.86%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportivo La Coruña (Visit)

Prediction 31.69%3.16fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -0.994%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.83%31.69%31.86%32.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.0937.04%34.25%34.48%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.59%3.27fair odd
EV +0.625%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.273%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.94%30.59%30.54%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.053.053.2935.09%32.83%32.79%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Málaga (Local): 37.72%; Deportivo La Coruña (Visit): 31.69%; Draw: 30.59%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.29, producing a positive expected value of +0.625%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 38.18%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.88%EV -2.08%E -0.672%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.94%EV +0.625%E +0.190%K +0.273%G +0.002%1.5%2026-08-02 10:54
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.19%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:04
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.19%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.19%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:05
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.19%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 11:05
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.19%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 10:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.19%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 11:44
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.72%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:04
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -6.72%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:10
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 11:45
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 10:53
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 11:09
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -12.10%E -5.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 11:15
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.13%EV -15.12%E -6.72%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.10%EV -12.83%E -4.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-02 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.77%7.8%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.77%7.8%2026-08-02 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 31.94%2.44I 40.98%NM 32.73%2.26I 44.25%NM 35.33%25.2%2026-08-02 12:45
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 38.08%1.61I 62.11%NM 36.42%2.30I 43.48%NM 25.50%70.5%2026-08-02 13:20