Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levante v Sevilla

2026-10-12 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levante (Local)

Prediction 36.02%2.78fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -0.744%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.93%36.10%35.98%37.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.622.7440.82%38.46%38.17%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sevilla (Visit)

Prediction 35.31%2.83fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.536%
Kelly -0.836%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%35.26%35.30%36.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.662.652.7940.00%37.62%37.74%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.74%28.64%28.73%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.303.4132.79%30.60%30.30%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Levante (Local): 36.02%; Sevilla (Visit): 35.31%; Draw: 28.67%. For Levante (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.74, with an expected value of -1.29%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.90%EV -1.29%E -0.472%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.26%EV -1.50%E -0.536%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.85%EV -2.23%E -0.655%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-29 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.37%E -0.876%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -4.32%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.92%EV -4.53%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.74%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 09:30
Bovada🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 13:22
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.90%EV -3.82%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.97%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 13:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-30 06:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 06:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-28 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:40
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 13:24
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 13:24
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 08:20
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 19:00
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -5.62%E -2.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.50%E -2.86%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.62%E -2.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.86%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -5.62%E -2.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.50%E -2.86%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 20:44
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -5.62%E -2.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.50%E -2.86%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 20:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 06:40
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.50%E -2.86%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 06:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.20%E -3.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-30 08:49
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.44%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-30 06:35
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.20%E -3.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 20:25
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.20%E -3.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 07:53
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 07:09
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-23 08:05
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-23 08:05
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.20%E -3.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-30 06:40
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.20%E -3.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -7.15%E -2.72%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-30 06:35
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -7.15%E -2.72%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-30 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -7.15%E -2.72%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-30 06:35
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.97%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-28 13:24
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.97%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-28 13:25
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.97%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 05:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -9.22%E -3.66%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -7.50%E -2.86%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 19:09
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -7.15%E -2.72%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-23 09:14
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.50%E -2.86%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-23 08:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.50%E -2.86%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 09:15
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.20%E -3.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 07:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.97%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-28 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.20%E -3.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-30 06:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.74%E -4.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -9.97%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-02 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -11.74%E -4.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -11.74%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-01 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-10-05 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-10-05 13:00
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-10-04 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.99%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.1%2026-10-05 13:35
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.76%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%5.1%2026-10-05 14:11