Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levante v Sevilla

2026-10-12 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levante (Local)

Prediction 36.85%2.71fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.52%37.02%36.75%38.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6843.48%40.40%40.00%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sevilla (Visit)

Prediction 34.05%2.94fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.660%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.73%33.96%34.18%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.802.9040.00%35.90%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.10%3.44fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%29.01%29.07%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.233.4033.33%31.06%31.01%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Levante (Local): 36.85%; Sevilla (Visit): 34.05%; Draw: 29.10%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -1.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.75%EV -1.24%E -0.462%K -0.737%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.20%EV -1.93%E -0.672%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.05%EV -1.36%E -0.400%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-17 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.72%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.04%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 14:11
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.52%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.16%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 13:36
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 13:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -1.25%E -0.432%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.07%E -0.314%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.07%E -0.314%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-17 14:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.06%E -2.99%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-17 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.87%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.71%E -3.96%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 14:34
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -10.45%E -4.30%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:35
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -4.66%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:36
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -12.29%E -5.17%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 13:36
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.72%EV -13.40%E -5.70%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.52%EV -14.87%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-17 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -15.24%E -6.63%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-17 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 36.53%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.53%16.0%2026-09-17 14:35