L’École des cotes

Levante v Getafe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC

Score final : Levante 1–0 Getafe

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Levante (Local)

Prévision 36.41%2.75cote équitable
EV +0.859%
Avantage +0.310%
Kelly +0.485%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.47%36.41%36.43%37.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.592.602.7740.00%38.56%38.46%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Getafe (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.39%3.19cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.665%
Kelly -0.979%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.44%31.42%31.39%33.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.993.003.1238.02%33.49%33.33%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.20%3.11cote équitable
EV -0.172%
Avantage -0.055%
Kelly -0.082%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.14%32.16%32.17%33.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.942.953.1038.02%34.01%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.00%EV +0.859%E +0.310%K +0.485%G +0.004%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.67%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.68%EV -1.46%E -0.477%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV -1.69%E -0.626%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -1.78%E -0.584%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 18:30
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV -1.69%E -0.626%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -1.78%E -0.584%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 18:30
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.96%EV -1.69%E -0.626%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%EV -2.08%E -0.665%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 18:00
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.59%EV -3.15%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.29%EV -2.39%E -0.768%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.12%EV -2.43%E -0.801%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 18:50
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 36.44%EV -3.15%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.09%EV -2.75%E -0.910%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -0.172%E -0.055%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 18:55
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -1.78%E -0.584%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 18:55
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 18:34
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 18:45
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 18:25
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.87%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.87%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:15
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 18:24
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 18:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -7.58%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 18:24
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 18:24
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 15:00
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 36.30%EV -4.97%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:35
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -7.58%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 18:50
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 18:55
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 18:15
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 18:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 15:00
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 18:55
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 18:15
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 18:50
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 18:15
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.73%EV -6.42%E -2.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -5.97%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:53
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:39
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:35
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 18:50
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 18:55
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:50
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 18:00
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 18:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 18:15
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.60%EV -8.24%E -3.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -8.35%E -2.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 18:34
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 18:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 18:55
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 18:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 18:54
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-13 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -17.45%E -6.64%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-13 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-13 18:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-13 18:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-13 18:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.8%2026-04-13 18:55