La escuela de los momios

Levante v Getafe

Inicio: 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC

Final: Levante 1–0 Getafe

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levante (Local)

Predicción 36.41%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.859%
Ventaja +0.310%
Kelly +0.485%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.47%36.41%36.43%37.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.592.602.7740.00%38.56%38.46%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Getafe (Visitante)

Predicción 31.39%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -0.979%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.44%31.42%31.39%33.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.993.003.1238.02%33.49%33.33%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.20%3.11momio equitativo
EV -0.172%
Ventaja -0.055%
Kelly -0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.14%32.16%32.17%33.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.942.953.1038.02%34.01%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.00%EV +0.859%E +0.310%K +0.485%G +0.004%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.67%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.68%EV -1.46%E -0.477%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV -1.69%E -0.626%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -1.78%E -0.584%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 18:30
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV -1.69%E -0.626%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -1.78%E -0.584%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 18:30
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.96%EV -1.69%E -0.626%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%EV -2.08%E -0.665%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 18:00
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.59%EV -3.15%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.29%EV -2.39%E -0.768%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.12%EV -2.43%E -0.801%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 18:50
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 36.44%EV -3.15%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.09%EV -2.75%E -0.910%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -0.172%E -0.055%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 18:55
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -1.78%E -0.584%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 18:55
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 18:34
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 18:45
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 18:25
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.87%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.87%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:15
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 18:24
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 18:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -7.58%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 18:24
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 18:24
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.83%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 15:00
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 36.30%EV -4.97%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:35
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -7.58%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 18:50
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 18:55
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 18:15
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 18:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 15:00
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 18:55
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 18:15
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 18:50
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 18:15
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.73%EV -6.42%E -2.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -5.97%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:53
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:39
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:35
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 18:50
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 18:55
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:50
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 18:00
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 18:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 18:15
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.60%EV -8.24%E -3.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -8.35%E -2.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 18:34
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 18:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 18:55
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 18:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 18:54
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-13 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -17.45%E -6.64%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.31%E -5.82%K -9.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-13 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-13 18:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-13 18:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-13 18:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.8%2026-04-13 18:55