預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Levante v Athletic Bilbao

開賽時間: 2026-09-16 20:15 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

15 家博彩公司 (1 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Levante (主隊)

預測 30.12%3.32公平賠率
EV +3.90%
優勢 +1.13%
Kelly +1.59%
成長率 +0.062%

假設最高賠率為 3.45

博彩公司預測分布
28.24%30.12%30.12%30.12%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.293.303.4533.33%30.43%30.30%28.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Athletic Bilbao (客隊)

預測 44.07%2.27公平賠率
EV +0.483%
優勢 +0.212%
Kelly +0.377%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 2.28

博彩公司預測分布
42.08%44.07%44.07%44.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.052.212.232.2848.78%45.25%44.84%43.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 25.81%3.87公平賠率
EV -9.65%
優勢 -2.76%
Kelly -3.86%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.50

博彩公司預測分布
25.81%25.81%25.81%29.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.27%30.30%28.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Levante (主隊):30.12%;Athletic Bilbao (客隊):44.07%;和局:25.81%。 對於「Levante (主隊)」,該估計相當於3.32的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.45,對應+3.90%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (15 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +3.90%E +1.13%K +1.59%G +0.062%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%EV +0.483%E +0.212%K +0.377%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-16 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +3.90%E +1.13%K +1.59%G +0.062%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%EV +0.483%E +0.212%K +0.377%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-16 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +3.90%E +1.13%K +1.59%G +0.062%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%EV +0.483%E +0.212%K +0.377%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-16 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +3.90%E +1.13%K +1.59%G +0.062%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%EV +0.483%E +0.212%K +0.377%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-16 19:55
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV +2.39%E +0.704%K +0.997%G +0.024%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -0.839%E -0.373%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -14.82%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -0.619%E -0.188%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 19:25
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.619%E -0.188%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -1.72%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 19:55
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.619%E -0.188%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -1.72%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 19:54
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.619%E -0.188%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -1.72%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -2.12%E -0.654%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.04%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -17.40%E -5.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -18.69%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -18.69%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -19.98%E -6.44%K -9.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 19:55
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -3.04%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -14.82%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 19:50
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.65%E -4.71%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 19:46
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-09-16 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-09-16 19:48
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%4.0%2026-09-16 20:00
Smarkets◎1.00I 100.00%NM 40.67%2.18I 45.87%NM 18.66%1.00I 100.00%NM 40.67%145.9%2026-09-16 19:55