语言:简体中文
Levante v Athletic Bilbao
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Levante (主队)
预测 30.12%3.32公平赔率
EV +3.90%
优势 +1.13%
Kelly +1.59%
增长率 +0.062%
假设最高赔率为 3.45
博彩公司预测分布
28.24%30.12%30.12%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.293.303.4533.33%30.43%30.30%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
Athletic Bilbao (客队)
预测 44.07%2.27公平赔率
EV +0.483%
优势 +0.212%
Kelly +0.377%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 2.28
博彩公司预测分布
42.08%44.07%44.07%44.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.212.232.2848.78%45.25%44.84%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.81%3.87公平赔率
EV -9.65%
优势 -2.76%
Kelly -3.86%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
25.81%25.81%25.81%29.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.27%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Levante (主队)：30.12%；Athletic Bilbao (客队)：44.07%；平局：25.81%。 对于“Levante (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.32。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.45，对应+3.90%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +3.90%E +1.13%K +1.59%G +0.062% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%EV +0.483%E +0.212%K +0.377%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +3.90%E +1.13%K +1.59%G +0.062% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%EV +0.483%E +0.212%K +0.377%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +3.90%E +1.13%K +1.59%G +0.062% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%EV +0.483%E +0.212%K +0.377%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +3.90%E +1.13%K +1.59%G +0.062% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%EV +0.483%E +0.212%K +0.377%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV +2.39%E +0.704%K +0.997%G +0.024% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -0.839%E -0.373%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -14.82%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -0.619%E -0.188%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.619%E -0.188%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -1.72%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.619%E -0.188%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -1.72%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 19:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -0.619%E -0.188%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -1.72%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -2.12%E -0.654%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.04%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -17.40%E -5.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -18.69%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -18.69%E -5.93%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -19.98%E -6.44%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -3.04%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -14.82%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.65%E -4.71%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 19:46 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 19:48 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 40.67% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 18.66% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 40.67% | 145.9% | 2026-09-16 19:55 |