A Escola das Odds

Girona v Mallorca

Início: 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Final: Girona 0–1 Mallorca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Girona (Local)

Previsão 49.23%2.03odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.775%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.21%49.20%49.27%50.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.08%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mallorca (Visitante)

Previsão 23.83%4.20odd justa
EV +0.078%
Vantagem +0.019%
Kelly +0.024%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.09%23.86%23.85%25.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.943.954.2027.78%25.38%25.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.95%3.71odd justa
EV -0.297%
Vantagem -0.080%
Kelly -0.110%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.57%26.95%26.88%28.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.71%28.57%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84%EV -1.55%E -0.775%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV +0.078%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 18:44
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.04%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.22%EV -0.398%E -0.095%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.74%EV -2.18%E -0.601%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 18:50
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.44%EV -3.52%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -1.11%E -0.268%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.22%EV -4.07%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 18:53
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.13%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:35
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.13%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 49.13%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.26%EV -3.52%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 18:34
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:45
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:45
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:53
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.77%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.79%EV -2.78%E -0.682%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.44%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 18:44
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.57%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.38%EV -3.50%E -0.863%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:55
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.97%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 18:15
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.97%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 18:14
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:54
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:39
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:40
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:39
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:35
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:34
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.75%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:35
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:34
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:35
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:39
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:49
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:49
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:54
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 18:55
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -0.297%E -0.080%K -0.110%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:15
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:44
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:55
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -7.95%E -4.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:45
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:45
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-01 18:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-01 18:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-05-01 18:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-01 18:54
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-05-01 18:55