L’École des cotes

Girona v Mallorca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Score final : Girona 0–1 Mallorca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Girona (Local)

Prévision 49.23%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.775%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.21%49.20%49.27%50.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.08%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mallorca (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV +0.078%
Avantage +0.019%
Kelly +0.024%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.09%23.86%23.85%25.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.943.954.2027.78%25.38%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.95%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.297%
Avantage -0.080%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.57%26.95%26.88%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.71%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84%EV -1.55%E -0.775%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV +0.078%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 18:44
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.04%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.22%EV -0.398%E -0.095%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.74%EV -2.18%E -0.601%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 18:50
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.44%EV -3.52%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -1.11%E -0.268%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.22%EV -4.07%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 18:53
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.13%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:35
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.13%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 49.13%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.26%EV -3.52%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 18:34
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:45
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:45
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -2.30%E -0.562%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:53
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.77%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.79%EV -2.78%E -0.682%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.44%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 18:44
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.57%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.38%EV -3.50%E -0.863%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:55
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.97%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 18:15
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.97%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 18:14
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:54
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:39
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 18:40
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:39
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:35
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:34
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.75%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:35
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:34
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.88%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:35
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:39
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:49
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:49
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:54
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 18:55
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -0.297%E -0.080%K -0.110%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:15
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:44
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:55
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -7.95%E -4.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:45
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:45
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-01 18:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-01 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-01 18:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-05-01 18:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-01 18:54
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-05-01 18:55