L’École des cotes

Girona v Elche CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : Girona 1–1 Elche CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Girona (Local)

Prévision 52.66%1.90cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.16%52.67%52.65%53.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.90%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elche CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.01%4.54cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.272%
Kelly +0.348%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.74%22.08%22.08%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.234.204.6026.67%23.66%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.328%
Kelly +0.437%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.62%25.25%25.27%26.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.743.754.0030.77%26.77%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%EV +1.31%E +0.328%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%EV +1.31%E +0.328%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.8%2026-05-23 18:19
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%EV +1.31%E +0.328%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.65%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV +1.31%E +0.328%K +0.437%G +0.006%3.0%2026-05-23 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV +0.045%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.22%E -0.313%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -9.42%E -5.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.62%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV +1.25%E +0.272%K +0.348%G +0.004%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.28%EV -2.74%E -0.714%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75%EV -3.10%E -1.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.91%EV -2.49%E -0.562%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV -2.99%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.10%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.10%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:19
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:20
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:19
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:18
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.86%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.55%EV -1.17%E -0.260%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.85%EV -3.10%E -1.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:48
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:28
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:48
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.32%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:48
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.61%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.05%E -0.461%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.61%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.05%E -0.461%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:29
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:48
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -6.79%E -3.84%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -8.90%E -5.14%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -7.32%E -4.16%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:19
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -7.32%E -4.16%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:19
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -7.32%E -4.16%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 18:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.79%E -3.84%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.42%E -5.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.98%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:19
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 51.93%EV -9.42%E -5.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -8.90%E -5.14%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -17.46%E -4.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -17.68%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-23 18:40