La escuela de los momios

Girona v Elche CF

Inicio: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Girona 1–1 Elche CF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Girona (Local)

Predicción 52.66%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.16%52.67%52.65%53.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.90%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elche CF (Visitante)

Predicción 22.01%4.54momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.272%
Kelly +0.348%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.74%22.08%22.08%23.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.234.204.6026.67%23.66%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.328%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.62%25.25%25.27%26.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.743.754.0030.77%26.77%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%EV +1.31%E +0.328%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%EV +1.31%E +0.328%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.8%2026-05-23 18:19
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%EV +1.31%E +0.328%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.65%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV +1.31%E +0.328%K +0.437%G +0.006%3.0%2026-05-23 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV +0.045%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.22%E -0.313%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -9.42%E -5.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.62%EV -4.68%E -2.59%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV +1.25%E +0.272%K +0.348%G +0.004%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.28%EV -2.74%E -0.714%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75%EV -3.10%E -1.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.91%EV -2.49%E -0.562%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV -2.99%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.10%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.10%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:19
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:20
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:19
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:18
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.86%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.55%EV -1.17%E -0.260%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.85%EV -3.10%E -1.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:48
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:28
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:48
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.32%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:48
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.61%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.05%E -0.461%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.61%EV -4.16%E -2.28%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.05%E -0.461%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -3.15%E -0.716%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:29
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:48
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -6.79%E -3.84%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -8.90%E -5.14%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -7.32%E -4.16%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:19
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -7.32%E -4.16%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:19
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -7.32%E -4.16%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -0.949%E -0.211%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 18:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.79%E -3.84%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.42%E -5.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.98%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:19
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 51.93%EV -9.42%E -5.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -8.90%E -5.14%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -17.46%E -4.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -17.68%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-23 18:40