L’École des cotes

Girona v Athletic Bilbao

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Girona (Local)

Prévision 33.34%3.00cote équitable
EV +5.01%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +2.33%
Croissance +0.117%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.79%33.44%33.35%35.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.792.803.1540.00%35.79%35.71%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletic Bilbao (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.67%2.65cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.636%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.80%37.62%37.70%40.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.64%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.99%3.45cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.337%
Kelly -0.476%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.76%28.94%28.95%29.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.253.4134.72%30.62%30.77%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV +5.01%E +1.59%K +2.33%G +0.117%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -10.34%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.45%EV -1.15%E -0.337%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -0.653%E -0.219%K -0.330%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 12:55
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -0.653%E -0.219%K -0.330%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 12:55
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV -0.986%E -0.332%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.16%EV -4.31%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -3.76%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.88%EV -1.65%E -0.560%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.74%EV -3.18%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -1.65%E -0.560%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.23%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 12:53
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.91%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.91%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.47%EV +0.587%E +0.220%K +0.352%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 12:40
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.54%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 12:55
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 12:55
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:55
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -3.99%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 12:55
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.99%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.96%EV -8.83%E -3.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:54
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:55
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:55
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.16%EV -5.99%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.33%EV -8.08%E -3.31%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -4.92%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 12:49
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV +1.72%E +0.636%K +1.01%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 12:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 12:04
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:53
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -0.166%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -0.166%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -0.166%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 12:50
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 12:55
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 12:55
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.34%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:55
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:55
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 12:50
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:45
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:54
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -16.65%E -6.66%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -16.51%E -5.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-03-14 12:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%1.8%2026-03-14 12:55