La escuela de los momios

Girona v Athletic Bilbao

Inicio: 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Girona (Local)

Predicción 33.34%3.00momio equitativo
EV +5.01%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +2.33%
Crecimiento +0.117%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.79%33.44%33.35%35.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.792.803.1540.00%35.79%35.71%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletic Bilbao (Visitante)

Predicción 37.67%2.65momio equitativo
EV +1.72%
Ventaja +0.636%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.80%37.62%37.70%40.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.64%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.99%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.337%
Kelly -0.476%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.76%28.94%28.95%29.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.4134.72%30.62%30.77%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV +5.01%E +1.59%K +2.33%G +0.117%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -10.34%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.45%EV -1.15%E -0.337%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -0.653%E -0.219%K -0.330%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 12:55
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -0.653%E -0.219%K -0.330%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 12:55
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV -0.986%E -0.332%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.16%EV -4.31%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -3.76%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.88%EV -1.65%E -0.560%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.74%EV -3.18%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -1.65%E -0.560%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.23%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 12:53
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.91%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.91%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.47%EV +0.587%E +0.220%K +0.352%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 12:40
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.54%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 12:55
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 12:55
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:55
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -3.99%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 12:55
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.99%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.96%EV -8.83%E -3.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:54
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:55
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:55
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.16%EV -5.99%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.33%EV -8.08%E -3.31%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -4.92%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 12:49
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV +1.72%E +0.636%K +1.01%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 12:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 12:04
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:53
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -0.166%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -0.166%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -0.166%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 12:50
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 12:55
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 12:55
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.34%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:55
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:55
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:55
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -2.05%E -0.788%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 12:50
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:45
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:54
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -12.32%E -4.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -16.65%E -6.66%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -16.51%E -5.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-03-14 12:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%1.8%2026-03-14 12:55