L’École des cotes

Getafe v Sevilla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Getafe (Local)

Prévision 40.37%2.48cote équitable
EV +0.126%
Avantage +0.051%
Kelly +0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.65%40.38%40.38%41.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.342.352.4844.44%42.67%42.55%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sevilla (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV +0.743%
Avantage +0.189%
Kelly +0.254%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.60%25.72%25.74%27.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.603.9230.30%27.75%27.78%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.93%2.95cote équitable
EV -0.933%
Avantage -0.320%
Kelly -0.486%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.62%33.90%33.88%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.802.9240.00%35.94%35.71%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.50%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.79%EV +0.743%E +0.189%K +0.254%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.71%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 12:54
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.06%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.15%EV -0.542%E -0.140%K -0.189%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -2.29%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 12:50
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.61%EV -5.93%E -2.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -0.933%E -0.320%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 12:50
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -2.30%E -0.949%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -6.36%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:53
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -2.30%E -0.949%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -6.36%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:54
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%EV -4.72%E -2.00%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.98%EV -7.72%E -2.84%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 12:54
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 12:55
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.23%EV -1.31%E -0.342%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.23%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 12:54
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -2.34%E -0.616%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.15%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 12:54
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 12:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -2.63%E -0.916%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 12:14
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 12:10
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.68%E -2.04%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 12:54
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.68%E -2.04%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 12:55
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 12:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.95%E -3.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:10
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:05
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.07%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 12:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 12:54
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 12:39
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 12:55
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 12:39
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 12:05
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 12:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 12:34
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV +0.126%E +0.051%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 12:09
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.09%E -0.443%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:10
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.09%E -0.443%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:10
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -1.89%E -0.779%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 12:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 12:50
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.61%EV -7.72%E -2.84%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 12:47
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 12:40
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.30%E -0.949%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.66%EV -4.33%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 10:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 12:50
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 12:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:55
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 12:54
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 12:54
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:15
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 12:10
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 12:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -1.09%E -0.443%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 12:54
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -6.33%E -2.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 12:15
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:09
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -15.18%E -6.07%K -10.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%0.5%2026-02-22 12:55
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%0.5%2026-02-22 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02%0.5%2026-02-22 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%0.9%2026-02-22 12:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96%1.4%2026-02-22 12:55