La escuela de los momios

Getafe v Sevilla

Inicio: 2026-02-22 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Getafe (Local)

Predicción 40.37%2.48momio equitativo
EV +0.126%
Ventaja +0.051%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.65%40.38%40.38%41.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.342.352.4844.44%42.67%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sevilla (Visitante)

Predicción 25.70%3.89momio equitativo
EV +0.743%
Ventaja +0.189%
Kelly +0.254%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.60%25.72%25.74%27.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.603.9230.30%27.75%27.78%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.93%2.95momio equitativo
EV -0.933%
Ventaja -0.320%
Kelly -0.486%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.62%33.90%33.88%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.802.9240.00%35.94%35.71%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.50%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.79%EV +0.743%E +0.189%K +0.254%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.71%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 12:54
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.06%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.15%EV -0.542%E -0.140%K -0.189%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -2.29%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 12:50
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.61%EV -5.93%E -2.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -0.933%E -0.320%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 12:50
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -2.30%E -0.949%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -6.36%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:53
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -2.30%E -0.949%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -6.36%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:54
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%EV -4.72%E -2.00%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.98%EV -7.72%E -2.84%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 12:54
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -1.06%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 12:55
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.23%EV -1.31%E -0.342%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.23%EV -3.99%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 12:54
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -2.34%E -0.616%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.15%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 12:54
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 12:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -2.63%E -0.916%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 12:14
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 12:10
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.68%E -2.04%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 12:54
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.68%E -2.04%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 12:55
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 12:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.95%E -3.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:10
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:05
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.07%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 12:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 12:54
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 12:39
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 12:55
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 12:39
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 12:05
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 12:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 12:34
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV +0.126%E +0.051%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 12:09
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.09%E -0.443%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:10
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.09%E -0.443%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:10
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -1.89%E -0.779%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -1.61%E -0.556%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 12:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 12:50
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.61%EV -7.72%E -2.84%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 12:47
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 12:40
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.30%E -0.949%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.66%EV -4.33%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 10:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 12:50
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 12:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:55
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 12:54
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.40%E -3.11%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 12:54
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:10
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:15
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 12:10
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.31%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 12:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -1.09%E -0.443%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -11.11%E -4.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 12:54
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -6.33%E -2.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 12:15
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:09
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.70%E -2.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -15.18%E -6.07%K -10.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%0.5%2026-02-22 12:55
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%0.5%2026-02-22 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02%0.5%2026-02-22 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%0.9%2026-02-22 12:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96%1.4%2026-02-22 12:55