Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe v Real Racing Club de Santander

2026-08-23 17:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe (Local)

Prediction 48.83%2.05fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.51%49.12%48.42%51.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.871.861.9754.95%53.40%53.76%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)

Prediction 20.24%4.94fair odd
EV +3.21%
Edge +0.630%
Kelly +0.783%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.41%19.93%20.30%21.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.704.755.1025.00%21.26%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.94%3.23fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.810%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.01%30.95%31.28%31.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.37%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Getafe (Local): 48.83%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 20.24%; Draw: 30.94%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.94. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.10, producing a positive expected value of +3.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.76%EV -8.70%E -4.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV +3.21%E +0.630%K +0.783%G +0.025%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:24
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.30%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +3.21%E +0.630%K +0.783%G +0.025%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 11:25
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 50.18%EV -7.23%E -3.81%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV +1.19%E +0.238%K +0.297%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 11:24
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.84%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.19%E +0.238%K +0.297%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 11:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +1.19%E +0.238%K +0.297%G +0.004%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV +1.19%E +0.238%K +0.297%G +0.004%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:45
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.29%EV -8.21%E -4.37%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -2.86%E -0.596%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 11:49
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -7.23%E -3.81%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -3.87%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:49
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.12%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -3.87%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 11:25
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -3.81%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%EV -4.88%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.75%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.93%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:50
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 48.40%EV -7.23%E -3.81%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.93%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.85%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -10.95%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 13:49
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -11.97%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 13:53
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.19%EV -7.23%E -3.81%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -12.98%E -3.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.51%EV -11.14%E -6.12%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -19.05%E -4.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-02 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%15.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%15.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 41.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.32%2.34I 42.74%NM 34.30%24.6%2026-08-02 12:50
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 35.42%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 28.03%73.2%2026-08-02 13:20