Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe v Real Racing Club de Santander

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 17:30 UTC

Final: Getafe 1–0 Real Racing Club de Santander

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe (Local)

Prediction 41.37%2.42fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%41.42%41.37%43.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.302.3846.51%44.09%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)

Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +0.918%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%27.57%27.55%29.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.403.7531.75%28.99%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.05%3.22fair odd
EV -0.639%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.01%31.00%31.08%31.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.053.2034.48%32.81%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Getafe (Local): 41.37%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 27.58%; Draw: 31.05%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.21%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.44%E +0.918%K +1.25%G +0.043%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -2.19%E -0.696%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.21%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.44%E +0.918%K +1.25%G +0.043%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -2.19%E -0.696%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 16:44
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.21%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.44%E +0.918%K +1.25%G +0.043%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -2.19%E -0.696%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.21%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.44%E +0.918%K +1.25%G +0.043%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -2.19%E -0.696%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.21%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.44%E +0.918%K +1.25%G +0.043%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -2.19%E -0.696%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 16:54
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:39
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:39
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:39
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:39
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.82%E -4.51%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -0.697%E -0.194%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -9.82%E -4.51%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -0.697%E -0.194%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%EV -1.52%E -0.427%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.75%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.21%EV -1.80%E -0.506%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.04%EV -3.12%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.05%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.56%EV -2.63%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.62%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.90%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.62%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.90%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:04
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.91%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -3.46%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.38%EV -4.05%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 17:19
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.16%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -3.46%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 17:04
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.06%E -5.15%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.46%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.40%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:54
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.06%E -5.15%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.46%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.40%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:54
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 17:19
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 17:19
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -10.24%E -4.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -10.24%E -4.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:54
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:24
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:24
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:09
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:09
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 17:19
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 17:23
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 17:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:25
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -7.75%E -3.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 17:05
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 17:19
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.30%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 17:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.49%EV -8.17%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.01%EV -7.78%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 17:19
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 17:19
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -0.639%E -0.200%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:24
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -1.55%E -0.651%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.69%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 17:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 17:24
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-08-23 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-08-23 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-23 17:25
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-23 17:25
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-08-23 17:25
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.0%2026-08-23 17:25