L’École des cotes

Getafe v Mallorca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 19:30 UTC

Score final : Getafe 3–1 Mallorca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Getafe (Local)

Prévision 40.71%2.46cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.958%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.63%40.78%40.68%41.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.302.302.4046.08%43.51%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mallorca (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.70%3.75cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.386%
Kelly +0.523%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.47%26.74%26.74%28.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.533.503.8030.77%28.34%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.59%3.07cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.38%32.48%32.57%33.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.882.903.0038.46%34.70%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.72%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV +1.47%E +0.386%K +0.523%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.81%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 19:25
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV +0.131%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.58%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV +0.131%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.58%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV +0.131%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.47%EV -2.30%E -0.958%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.04%EV -0.403%E -0.108%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 19:05
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.02%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.13%EV -0.671%E -0.180%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.84%EV -3.53%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-13 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.20%E -0.326%K -0.446%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 19:25
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.60%EV -2.71%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.27%E -0.621%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 19:20
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.56%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -2.27%E -0.621%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.06%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.56%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -2.27%E -0.621%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.06%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 19:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:19
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.57%EV -2.71%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.78%EV -3.34%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -3.21%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 19:19
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.70%EV -4.74%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 19:25
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:19
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.44%EV -4.41%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -2.88%E -0.967%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:20
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -2.88%E -0.967%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:20
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.09%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 19:15
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -2.23%E -0.743%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:24
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:10
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 19:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 19:10
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 19:10
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 19:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -9.22%E -4.13%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -9.22%E -4.13%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -9.22%E -4.13%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 19:25
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 19:25
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.23%E -0.743%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 15:10
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.23%E -0.743%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:35
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.23%E -0.743%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 19:09
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 19:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 19:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.83%EV -9.73%E -3.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 19:20
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 41.20%EV -11.66%E -5.37%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 19:25
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:30
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.63%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -13.22%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -15.27%E -5.87%K -9.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-13 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%0.3%2026-05-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%0.3%2026-05-13 19:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%0.3%2026-05-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%0.5%2026-05-13 19:25
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.97%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%0.9%2026-05-13 19:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-05-13 19:20