La escuela de los momios

Getafe v Mallorca

Inicio: 2026-05-13 19:30 UTC

Final: Getafe 3–1 Mallorca

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Getafe (Local)

Predicción 40.71%2.46momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.958%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.63%40.78%40.68%41.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.302.302.4046.08%43.51%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mallorca (Visitante)

Predicción 26.70%3.75momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.386%
Kelly +0.523%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.47%26.74%26.74%28.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.533.503.8030.77%28.34%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.59%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.38%32.48%32.57%33.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.882.903.0038.46%34.70%34.48%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.72%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV +1.47%E +0.386%K +0.523%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.81%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 19:25
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV +0.131%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.58%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV +0.131%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.58%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV +0.131%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.47%EV -2.30%E -0.958%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.04%EV -0.403%E -0.108%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 19:05
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.02%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.13%EV -0.671%E -0.180%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.84%EV -3.53%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-13 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.20%E -0.326%K -0.446%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 19:25
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.60%EV -2.71%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.27%E -0.621%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 19:20
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.56%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -2.27%E -0.621%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.06%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.56%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -2.27%E -0.621%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.06%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 19:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:19
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -2.54%E -0.696%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.57%EV -2.71%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.78%EV -3.34%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -3.21%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 19:19
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.70%EV -4.74%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 19:25
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:19
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.44%EV -4.41%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:25
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -2.88%E -0.967%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:20
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.56%E -2.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -2.88%E -0.967%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 19:20
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.09%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 19:15
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -2.23%E -0.743%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:24
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:10
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 19:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 19:10
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 19:10
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 19:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -9.22%E -4.13%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -9.22%E -4.13%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -9.22%E -4.13%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 19:25
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 19:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 19:25
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.23%E -0.743%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 15:10
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.23%E -0.743%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:35
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.23%E -0.743%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 19:09
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -7.18%E -3.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 19:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 19:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.83%EV -9.73%E -3.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 19:20
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 41.20%EV -11.66%E -5.37%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 19:25
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:30
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.63%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -13.22%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -15.27%E -5.87%K -9.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-13 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%0.3%2026-05-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%0.3%2026-05-13 19:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%0.3%2026-05-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%0.5%2026-05-13 19:25
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.97%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%0.9%2026-05-13 19:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-05-13 19:20