L’École des cotes

Espanyol v Oviedo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 20:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Espanyol (Local)

Prévision 48.45%2.06cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.808%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.06%48.52%48.41%49.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.952.0354.64%51.77%51.28%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oviedo (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.96%4.36cote équitable
EV +3.32%
Avantage +0.738%
Kelly +0.949%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.54%22.99%23.01%24.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.154.104.5026.67%24.11%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.59%3.50cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.418%
Kelly +0.581%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%28.49%28.58%29.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.303.5534.72%30.19%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.62%EV -5.03%E -2.57%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.77%EV -3.38%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-09 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:00
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:00
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.65%EV +2.86%E +0.639%K +0.822%G +0.024%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.61%EV -3.09%E -0.912%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 19:59
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -0.583%E -0.135%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:58
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.70%EV -3.09%E -1.55%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65%EV -1.27%E -0.296%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-09 19:59
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -1.27%E -0.296%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 19:57
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -2.42%E -0.569%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.54%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 19:58
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -2.42%E -0.569%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 20:00
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.93%EV -1.64%E -0.808%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.11%EV -3.34%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-09 19:59
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.32%EV -2.61%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 19:58
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.02%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -1.38%E -0.399%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.02%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -1.38%E -0.399%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 20:00
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.40%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.24%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:59
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -8.42%E -4.46%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.72%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -5.09%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 20:00
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -3.09%E -1.55%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 19:59
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 20:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 19:59
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.45%EV -7.01%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -4.24%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 19:57
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 20:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV +0.053%E +0.015%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.24%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 19:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.09%E -1.55%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 20:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 19:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 20:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 20:00
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 19:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-09 20:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 19:59
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 20:00
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.06%E -2.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -1.38%E -0.399%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:59
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.06%E -2.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -1.38%E -0.399%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.97%E -3.63%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV +1.48%E +0.418%K +0.581%G +0.009%5.6%2026-03-09 20:00
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV +0.053%E +0.015%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 20:00
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.97%E -3.63%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 20:00
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -11.33%E -6.19%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.67%E -6.14%K -9.40%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-03-09 20:00
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-09 20:00