La escuela de los momios

Espanyol v Oviedo

Inicio: 2026-03-09 20:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Espanyol (Local)

Predicción 48.45%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.808%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.06%48.52%48.41%49.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.952.0354.64%51.77%51.28%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oviedo (Visitante)

Predicción 22.96%4.36momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +0.738%
Kelly +0.949%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.54%22.99%23.01%24.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.154.104.5026.67%24.11%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.59%3.50momio equitativo
EV +1.48%
Ventaja +0.418%
Kelly +0.581%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%28.49%28.58%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.5534.72%30.19%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.62%EV -5.03%E -2.57%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.77%EV -3.38%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-09 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:00
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.32%E +0.738%K +0.949%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:00
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.65%EV +2.86%E +0.639%K +0.822%G +0.024%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.61%EV -3.09%E -0.912%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 19:59
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -0.124%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -0.583%E -0.135%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:58
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.70%EV -3.09%E -1.55%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65%EV -1.27%E -0.296%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-09 19:59
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -1.27%E -0.296%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 19:57
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -2.42%E -0.569%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.54%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 19:58
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -2.42%E -0.569%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 20:00
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.93%EV -1.64%E -0.808%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.11%EV -3.34%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-09 19:59
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.32%EV -2.61%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 19:58
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.02%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -1.38%E -0.399%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.02%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -1.38%E -0.399%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 20:00
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.40%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -3.57%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.24%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:59
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -8.42%E -4.46%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.72%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -5.09%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 20:00
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -3.09%E -1.55%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 19:59
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 20:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 19:59
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.45%EV -7.01%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -4.24%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 19:57
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 20:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV +0.053%E +0.015%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.24%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 19:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.09%E -1.55%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 20:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 19:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.81%E -0.825%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 20:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 19:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 20:00
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 19:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-09 20:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 19:59
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 20:00
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.06%E -2.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -1.38%E -0.399%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:59
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.06%E -2.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -1.38%E -0.399%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.97%E -3.63%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV +1.48%E +0.418%K +0.581%G +0.009%5.6%2026-03-09 20:00
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -6.00%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV +0.053%E +0.015%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 20:00
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.97%E -3.63%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 20:00
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -11.33%E -6.19%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.67%E -6.14%K -9.40%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-03-09 20:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-03-09 20:00
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-09 20:00