The School of Odds

Espanyol v Levante

2026-08-16 19:00 — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Espanyol (Local)

1.7557.14%Min
1.9351.81%Mean
1.9551.28%Median
2.0748.31%Max
46.01%2.174Min
51.06%1.959Max
48.69%2.054Mean
48.46%2.064Median
48.52%2.061IQM
48.61%2.057Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.07 under the IQM model: 48.52%

EV +0.428%Edge +0.207%Kelly +0.400%Growth +0.002%

Option 2: Levante (Visit)

3.3529.85%Min
3.7626.62%Mean
3.6527.40%Median
4.2523.53%Max
22.25%4.495Min
26.39%3.790Max
23.90%4.184Mean
24.01%4.165Median
23.93%4.179IQM
24.00%4.168Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.25 under the IQM model: 23.93%

EV +1.69%Edge +0.398%Kelly +0.520%Growth +0.009%

Option 3: Draw

3.1032.26%Min
3.3829.57%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.5827.93%Max
26.70%3.746Min
27.81%3.596Max
27.41%3.649Mean
27.53%3.632Median
27.56%3.629IQM
27.40%3.650Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.58 under the IQM model: 27.56%

EV -1.35%Edge -0.376%Kelly -0.522%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerEspanyol (Local)Levante (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.87I 53.48% NM 50.65%EV -9.28% E -4.96% K -10.66% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 22.29%EV +1.69% E +0.398% K +0.520% G +0.009%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.06%EV -3.55% E -1.01% K -1.42% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 12:30
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63% NM 50.12%EV -7.82% E -4.12% K -8.69% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.67%EV +0.495% E +0.118% K +0.155% G +0.001%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.21%EV -3.55% E -1.01% K -1.42% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:30
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48% NM 50.52%EV -9.28% E -4.96% K -10.66% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.49%EV +0.495% E +0.118% K +0.155% G +0.001%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.99%EV -3.55% E -1.01% K -1.42% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-02 12:59
FanDuel1.83I 54.64% NM 51.06%EV -11.22% E -6.13% K -13.51% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.25%EV +0.495% E +0.118% K +0.155% G +0.001%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.70%EV -3.55% E -1.01% K -1.42% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:30
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19% NM 50.11%EV -8.79% E -4.68% K -9.99% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.98%EV -1.90% E -0.463% K -0.612% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.92%EV -3.55% E -1.01% K -1.42% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:30
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05% NM 49.84%EV -10.25% E -5.54% K -12.05% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.05%EV -4.29% E -1.07% K -1.43% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.12%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 12:29
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64% NM 50.11%EV -11.22% E -6.13% K -13.51% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.92%EV -4.29% E -1.07% K -1.43% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.97%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 12:29
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76% NM 48.32%EV -4.42% E -2.25% K -4.56% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 24.10%EV -5.49% E -1.39% K -1.86% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.59%EV -4.93% E -1.43% K -2.01% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 21:40
1xBet2.07I 48.31% NM 47.54%EV +0.428% E +0.207% K +0.400% G +0.002%3.94I 25.38% NM 24.98%EV -5.73% E -1.45% K -1.95% G +0.000%3.58I 27.93% NM 27.49%EV -1.35% E -0.376% K -0.522% G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-04 04:04
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48% NM 48.87%EV -9.28% E -4.96% K -10.66% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.43%EV -6.68% E -1.71% K -2.30% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.69%EV -9.06% E -2.75% K -3.94% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 00:15
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02% NM 47.50%EV -1.03% E -0.504% K -0.988% G +0.000%3.88I 25.77% NM 24.97%EV -7.16% E -1.85% K -2.49% G +0.000%3.52I 28.41% NM 27.53%EV -3.00% E -0.852% K -1.19% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 04:00
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36% NM 48.04%EV -7.33% E -3.84% K -8.06% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.15%EV -9.08% E -2.39% K -3.24% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.81%EV -9.06% E -2.75% K -3.94% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 21:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48% NM 48.57%EV -9.28% E -4.96% K -10.66% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.90%EV -9.08% E -2.39% K -3.24% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.52%EV -9.06% E -2.75% K -3.94% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 12:30
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63% NM 48.22%EV -7.82% E -4.12% K -8.69% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.43%EV -10.27% E -2.74% K -3.74% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.35%EV -7.68% E -2.29% K -3.27% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63% NM 48.25%EV -7.82% E -4.12% K -8.69% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.78%EV -11.47% E -3.10% K -4.25% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.97%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18% NM 49.08%EV -13.64% E -7.66% K -17.49% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 23.61%EV -11.47% E -3.10% K -4.25% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.30%EV -11.82% E -3.69% K -5.37% G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 21:40
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56% NM 48.66%EV -12.67% E -7.04% K -15.84% G +0.000%3.68I 27.17% NM 23.80%EV -11.95% E -3.25% K -4.46% G +0.000%3.18I 31.45% NM 27.54%EV -12.37% E -3.89% K -5.67% G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 03:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.97% E -1.48% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -13.86% E -3.85% K -5.33% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.31% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-03 02:20
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14% NM 48.44%EV -15.10% E -8.63% K -20.13% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.22%EV -16.25% E -4.64% K -6.50% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.34%EV -14.57% E -4.70% K -6.94% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-03 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 46.01%EV -5.39% E -2.77% K -5.68% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.39%EV -18.65% E -5.48% K -7.77% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.60%EV -10.44% E -3.21% K -4.64% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 46.01%EV -5.39% E -2.77% K -5.68% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.39%EV -18.65% E -5.48% K -7.77% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.60%EV -10.44% E -3.21% K -4.64% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18% NM 47.49%EV -13.64% E -7.66% K -17.49% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.24%EV -19.84% E -5.92% K -8.44% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.27%EV -14.57% E -4.70% K -6.94% G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerEspanyol (Local)Levante (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%1.09I 91.74%3.40I 29.41%73.0%2026-07-05 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%1.09I 91.74%3.40I 29.41%73.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%1.06I 94.34%2.56I 39.06%85.2%2026-07-05 12:30
Arbitrage (1 combination)+0.23%1xBet 2.07 (48.4%) / SportsBet 4.25 (23.6%) / 1xBet 3.58 (28.0%)Show details
Espanyol (Local)Levante (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet 2.07 (48.4%)SportsBet 4.25 (23.6%)1xBet 3.58 (28.0%)+0.229%