Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Espanyol v Deportivo La Coruña

2026-11-07 15:15 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Espanyol (Local)

Prediction 44.38%2.25fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.458%
Kelly -0.831%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.42%44.36%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.112.142.2352.63%47.33%46.73%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportivo La Coruña (Visit)

Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.557%
Kelly -0.777%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.74%27.77%28.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.073.323.303.5332.57%30.16%30.30%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.84%3.59fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.325%
Kelly -0.452%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.84%27.88%29.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.343.403.5532.79%29.98%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Espanyol (Local): 44.38%; Deportivo La Coruña (Visit): 27.77%; Draw: 27.84%. For Espanyol (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.23, with an expected value of -1.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 44.18%EV -1.02%E -0.458%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.91%EV -1.97%E -0.557%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.91%EV -1.71%E -0.485%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-25 20:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -3.24%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.69%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -4.22%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 01:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 22:00
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 21:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 21:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.57%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 21:55
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.67%EV -5.46%E -2.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.34%EV -3.36%E -0.964%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 21:36
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 21:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.01%E -4.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.80%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.55%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 22:11
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.01%E -4.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -9.01%E -4.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-25 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -9.01%E -4.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.54%EV -14.74%E -4.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -15.08%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -11.23%E -5.62%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -1.15%E -0.325%K -0.452%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.69%EV -15.67%E -8.25%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-25 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.17%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%3.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 42.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.84%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.03%16.4%2026-10-25 21:27