L’École des cotes

Espanyol v Athletic Bilbao

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : Espanyol 2–0 Athletic Bilbao

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Espanyol (Local)

Prévision 33.99%2.94cote équitable
EV +0.271%
Avantage +0.092%
Kelly +0.139%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.11%33.96%34.01%34.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.782.802.9538.02%35.97%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletic Bilbao (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.21%3.01cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.527%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.51%33.33%33.12%35.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.802.9840.00%36.02%35.71%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.80%3.05cote équitable
EV +3.33%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.86%32.71%32.87%33.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.912.903.1538.02%34.37%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -1.43%E -0.493%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV +3.33%E +1.06%K +1.55%G +0.052%2.6%2026-05-13 16:55
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 33.28%EV +0.271%E +0.092%K +0.139%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.06%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.67%EV +1.69%E +0.545%K +0.804%G +0.014%1.9%2026-05-13 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -2.11%E -0.732%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV +1.69%E +0.545%K +0.804%G +0.014%3.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -2.11%E -0.732%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV +1.69%E +0.545%K +0.804%G +0.014%3.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.00%E -4.53%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV +0.048%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.00%E -4.53%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV +0.048%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:55
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.00%E -4.53%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV +0.048%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.00%E -4.53%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV +0.048%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:55
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.59%E -0.531%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:50
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -1.59%E -0.531%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:40
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -4.15%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.98%EV -2.37%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV -2.58%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 16:50
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:50
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.34%E -3.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 16:50
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.34%E -3.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:55
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.23%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:55
Coolbet2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -0.069%E -0.023%K -0.035%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.56%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 16:45
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 34.06%EV -2.79%E -0.975%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.69%EV -1.04%E -0.350%K -0.527%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.25%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -2.11%E -0.732%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.04%E -1.04%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -4.22%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 34.57%EV -7.21%E -2.64%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -4.22%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:50
LowVig.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.14%EV -3.81%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.54%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.14%EV -3.81%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.54%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 16:50
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 16:40
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.34%E -3.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 16:50
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 16:55
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -15.32%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.87%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:55
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.15%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 16:45
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.15%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 16:45
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 16:48
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 16:31
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 16:35
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -9.93%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -15.32%E -6.01%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.09%EV -5.53%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -3.13%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:31
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:50
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:51
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.51%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.51%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.70%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -8.15%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:31
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.15%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:31
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.15%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 16:35
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -8.15%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -8.15%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:45
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.15%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -3.13%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.15%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:50
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -9.93%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -10.34%E -3.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.15%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.16%EV -9.25%E -3.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.92%EV -8.02%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.92%EV -9.14%E -3.30%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -16.98%E -6.79%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -13.73%E -5.22%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-13 16:31
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-05-13 16:45
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-05-13 16:55
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-05-13 16:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-05-13 16:41