La scuola delle quote

Elche CF v Mallorca

Inizio: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elche CF (Casa)

Previsione 45.80%2.18quota equa
EV -0.161%
Vantaggio -0.074%
Kelly -0.137%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.64%45.75%45.82%46.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.072.072.1850.00%48.29%48.31%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mallorca (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.19%3.82quota equa
EV +0.310%
Vantaggio +0.081%
Kelly +0.110%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.34%26.24%26.18%27.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.593.603.8331.25%27.83%27.78%26.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.01%3.57quota equa
EV +0.843%
Vantaggio +0.234%
Kelly +0.324%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.42%28.01%28.01%29.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.343.353.6033.33%29.98%29.85%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.843%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003%5.1%2026-03-21 12:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 12:33
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -2.57%E -0.691%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%EV -2.52%E -0.724%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 12:50
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.40%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -0.999%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.95%EV -2.80%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.12%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.07%EV -3.62%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -3.36%E -0.974%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 12:54
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -3.36%E -0.974%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 12:49
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -3.36%E -0.974%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.36%E -0.974%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 12:54
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -0.476%E -0.125%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -0.476%E -0.125%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 12:55
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.63%EV -0.737%E -0.195%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.32%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 12:50
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.21%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.310%E +0.081%K +0.110%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.46%EV -4.48%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 12:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:04
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.06%EV -5.19%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.91%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 12:55
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80%EV -0.161%E -0.074%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 12:50
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 45.03%EV -1.08%E -0.499%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 12:49
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.99%E -0.931%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.476%E -0.125%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 12:54
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.14%EV -1.54%E -0.714%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 12:54
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 12:20
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 45.77%EV -5.20%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 12:54
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.48%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.24%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:20
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 45.89%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 12:55
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:14
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 12:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 07:45
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 12:20
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:50
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 12:50
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 12:50
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:54
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 12:54
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 12:55
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 07:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:49
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:50
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 12:50
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 12:49
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.57%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:55
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -5.20%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:55
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -5.20%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -15.96%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-21 12:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-21 12:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-03-21 12:35