L’École des cotes

Elche CF v Mallorca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elche CF (Local)

Prévision 45.80%2.18cote équitable
EV -0.161%
Avantage -0.074%
Kelly -0.137%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.64%45.75%45.82%46.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.072.072.1850.00%48.29%48.31%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mallorca (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV +0.310%
Avantage +0.081%
Kelly +0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.34%26.24%26.18%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.593.603.8331.25%27.83%27.78%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.01%3.57cote équitable
EV +0.843%
Avantage +0.234%
Kelly +0.324%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%28.01%28.01%29.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.6033.33%29.98%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.843%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003%5.1%2026-03-21 12:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 12:33
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -2.57%E -0.691%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%EV -2.52%E -0.724%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 12:50
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.40%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -0.999%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.95%EV -2.80%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.12%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.07%EV -3.62%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -3.36%E -0.974%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 12:54
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -3.36%E -0.974%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 12:49
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -3.36%E -0.974%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.36%E -0.974%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 12:54
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -0.476%E -0.125%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -0.476%E -0.125%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 12:55
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.63%EV -0.737%E -0.195%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.32%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 12:50
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.21%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.310%E +0.081%K +0.110%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.46%EV -4.48%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 12:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:04
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.06%EV -5.19%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.91%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 12:55
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80%EV -0.161%E -0.074%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 12:50
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 45.03%EV -1.08%E -0.499%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 12:49
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.99%E -0.931%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.476%E -0.125%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 12:54
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.14%EV -1.54%E -0.714%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 12:54
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 12:20
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 45.77%EV -5.20%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 12:54
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.48%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.24%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:20
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 45.89%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 12:55
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:14
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 12:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 07:45
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 12:20
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:50
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 12:50
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 12:50
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 12:54
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 12:54
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 12:55
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 07:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:49
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:50
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 12:50
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 12:49
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.57%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 12:55
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -5.20%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:55
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -5.20%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -15.96%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-21 12:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-21 12:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-03-21 12:35