A Escola das Odds

Elche CF v Espanyol

Início: 2026-03-01 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elche CF (Local)

Previsão 38.53%2.60odd justa
EV -0.972%
Vantagem -0.378%
Kelly -0.619%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.41%38.68%38.50%39.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.432.452.5743.48%41.16%40.82%38.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Espanyol (Visitante)

Previsão 32.17%3.11odd justa
EV -0.278%
Vantagem -0.090%
Kelly -0.133%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.38%32.10%32.18%33.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.952.953.1038.02%33.93%33.90%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.30%3.41odd justa
EV -0.382%
Vantagem -0.112%
Kelly -0.159%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.86%29.23%29.32%30.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.233.203.4034.72%31.00%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 38.29%EV -0.972%E -0.378%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.16%EV -1.57%E -0.511%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.55%EV -2.43%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-01 12:44
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.74%E -0.683%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.23%EV -2.85%E -0.944%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.59%EV -3.61%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-01 12:39
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -2.90%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -3.90%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 12:29
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -2.90%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -3.90%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 12:29
Coolbet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.71%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 12:29
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.68%EV -1.57%E -0.511%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.55%EV -3.90%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 12:44
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 12:44
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 12:39
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 38.14%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.19%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 12:37
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.19%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.35%EV -0.278%E -0.090%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.45%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 12:29
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -4.14%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 11:29
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -4.14%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 11:29
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -0.278%E -0.090%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 12:29
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -0.278%E -0.090%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 12:29
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -0.278%E -0.090%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 12:30
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.18%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.00%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.83%EV -2.43%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 12:38
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.382%E -0.112%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 12:29
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 12:44
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.98%EV -3.90%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 12:44
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 12:44
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 12:29
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 11:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 11:59
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 12:29
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 12:44
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 12:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -7.68%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 11:59
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 11:44
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 12:00
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 12:29
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:59
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -0.382%E -0.112%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 12:40
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -0.278%E -0.090%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 12:44
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 12:39
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 12:29
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 12:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 12:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 12:29
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 12:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:29
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:39
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.19%EV -7.68%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 12:30
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 11:59
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:29
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:30
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:29
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:30
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:29
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:29
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 11:59
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -10.22%E -4.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 10:39
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -10.22%E -4.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 12:29
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -10.22%E -4.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 12:30
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -11.38%E -4.95%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.38%E -4.95%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -15.40%E -5.85%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -15.62%E -5.42%K -8.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 11:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.63%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-03-01 12:45
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.63%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-03-01 12:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-03-01 12:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-03-01 12:45
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%1.7%2026-03-01 12:44