Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elche CF v Barcelona

2026-08-23 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Testa a testa

17 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elche CF (Casa)

Previsione 12.04%8.31quota equa
EV +14.34%
Vantaggio +1.51%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescita +0.242%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.05%12.06%12.37%14.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.787.609.5016.67%12.85%13.16%10.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Barcelona (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.63%1.42quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.795%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.99%70.69%70.36%73.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.321.321.4080.00%75.99%75.76%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.33%5.77quota equa
EV +0.521%
Vantaggio +0.090%
Kelly +0.109%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.42%17.24%17.26%18.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.365.505.8020.41%18.67%18.18%17.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Elche CF (Casa): 12.04%; Barcelona (Trasferta): 70.63%; Pareggio: 17.33%. Per Elche CF (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 8.31. 7 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 9.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +14.34%.

Quote dei bookmaker (17 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +14.34%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.242%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -8.18%E -6.29%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV +0.521%E +0.090%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-02 11:04
1xBet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.61%EV +2.30%E +0.271%K +0.307%G +0.007%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.46%EV -1.11%E -0.795%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.94%EV -4.68%E -0.851%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-02 11:04
Coolbet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +2.30%E +0.271%K +0.307%G +0.007%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.68%E -0.851%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:49
betfred_uk8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +2.30%E +0.271%K +0.307%G +0.007%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.68%E -0.851%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:49
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.30%E +0.271%K +0.307%G +0.007%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.56%EV -8.88%E -6.89%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.21%E -0.213%K -0.258%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 11:05
Sky Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +2.30%E +0.271%K +0.307%G +0.007%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -8.88%E -6.89%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.68%E -0.851%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 11:10
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +2.30%E +0.271%K +0.307%G +0.007%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -11.71%E -9.37%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -4.68%E -0.851%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 11:10
Betr (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -0.708%E -0.086%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.68%E -0.851%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 11:49
Codere (IT)7.60I 13.16%NM 12.52%EV -8.53%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.49%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.95%E -0.526%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:55
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.73%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -13.34%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 11:44
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.73%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -13.34%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 11:45
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -9.73%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.01%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:55
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -15.75%E -2.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -8.18%E -6.29%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -9.88%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:54
Unibet (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 12.91%EV -16.96%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.61%EV -9.59%E -7.49%K -34.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -11.61%E -2.28%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 14:55
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -18.76%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -4.68%E -0.851%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 14:50
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -18.76%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.01%EV -8.88%E -6.89%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -13.34%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-02 14:53
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -27.79%E -4.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 67.99%EV -10.30%E -8.11%K -38.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.62%EV -15.08%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 14:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 14.23%1.27I 78.74%NM 67.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%17.1%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 34.98%1.31I 76.34%NM 28.31%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.71%169.7%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 34.98%1.31I 76.34%NM 28.31%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.71%169.7%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 34.98%1.31I 76.34%NM 28.31%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.71%169.7%2026-08-02 12:20
Arbitraggio (3 combinazioni) +0.81%SportsBet 9.50 (10.6%) / 1xBet 1.40 (72.0%) / SportsBet 5.80 (17.4%)Mostra tutte le 3 combinazioni
Elche CF (Casa)Barcelona (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
SportsBet 9.50 (10.6%)1xBet 1.40 (72.0%)SportsBet 5.80 (17.4%)+0.810%
SportsBet 9.50 (10.6%)1xBet 1.40 (71.8%)FanDuel 5.70 (17.6%)+0.504%
SportsBet 9.50 (10.5%)1xBet 1.40 (71.6%)Codere (IT) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.188%