Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo La Coruña v Valencia

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 17:30 UTC

Final: Deportivo La Coruña 3–1 Valencia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo La Coruña (Local)

Prediction 35.23%2.84fair odd
EV +0.402%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.09%35.15%35.25%36.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.672.702.8539.22%37.39%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Valencia (Visit)

Prediction 33.18%3.01fair odd
EV -0.446%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.25%33.30%33.19%34.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.853.0037.04%35.04%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.59%3.17fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -0.684%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.39%31.55%31.56%32.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1235.71%33.49%33.33%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo La Coruña (Local): 35.23%; Valencia (Visit): 33.18%; Draw: 31.59%. For Deportivo La Coruña (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.402%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV +0.402%E +0.141%K +0.217%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -10.40%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:25
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -0.655%E -0.232%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.98%EV -2.44%E -0.829%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV -6.19%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.64%EV -1.01%E -0.358%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.23%EV -2.77%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.13%EV -4.29%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.14%EV -2.42%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.45%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.40%EV -2.08%E -0.671%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.89%EV -2.42%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.90%EV -4.29%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.89%EV -2.42%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.90%EV -4.29%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Bovada🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.77%E -1.00%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:21
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -3.12%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.12%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.12%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.83%EV -4.18%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.83%EV -4.18%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -0.446%E -0.149%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%EV -2.08%E -0.671%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -0.446%E -0.149%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%EV -2.08%E -0.671%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -0.446%E -0.149%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%EV -2.08%E -0.671%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -0.446%E -0.149%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%EV -2.08%E -0.671%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 17:25
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -0.446%E -0.149%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.78%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -2.11%E -0.714%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -2.08%E -0.671%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.48%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.39%EV -1.45%E -0.465%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:18
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.48%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.39%EV -1.45%E -0.465%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:20
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:18
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -9.03%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:25
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:40
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.67%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:10
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV -7.35%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV -7.35%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:25
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV -7.35%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV -7.35%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -7.35%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.63%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.63%EV -11.56%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:15
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.08%E -0.671%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:20
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:25
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.50%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:25
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.42%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -7.08%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69%0.3%2026-08-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-08-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-08-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-08-30 17:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-08-30 17:10