Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna

Início: 2026-08-27 18:30 UTC

Final: Celta Vigo 1–2 CA Osasuna

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celta Vigo (Local)

Previsão 51.21%1.95odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.601%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.79%51.28%51.13%52.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.91%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

CA Osasuna (Visitante)

Previsão 20.28%4.93odd justa
EV +2.63%
Vantagem +0.520%
Kelly +0.649%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.97%20.26%20.34%21.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.254.624.605.0623.53%21.63%21.74%19.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.50%3.51odd justa
EV -0.236%
Vantagem -0.067%
Kelly -0.094%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.33%28.46%28.53%29.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.22%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Celta Vigo (Local): 51.21%; CA Osasuna (Visitante): 20.28%; Empate: 28.50%. Para CA Osasuna (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.93. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.06, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.63%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.77%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.08%EV +2.63%E +0.520%K +0.649%G +0.017%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.15%EV -2.23%E -0.650%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-27 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.77%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.08%EV +2.63%E +0.520%K +0.649%G +0.017%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.15%EV -2.23%E -0.650%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-27 18:20
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.13%EV -2.70%E -1.42%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%EV +1.42%E +0.283%K +0.354%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-27 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV +1.42%E +0.283%K +0.354%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:14
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV +1.42%E +0.283%K +0.354%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.57%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.75%EV -0.409%E -0.083%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.68%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-27 18:26
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -0.612%E -0.125%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -0.612%E -0.125%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 18:26
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.03%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -1.83%E -0.378%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.97%EV -1.38%E -0.398%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-27 18:20
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%EV -2.70%E -1.42%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.08%EV -2.03%E -0.421%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.87%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-27 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.12%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -2.64%E -0.550%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.12%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -2.64%E -0.550%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:20
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.64%E -0.550%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -7.82%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.64%E -0.550%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%EV -2.70%E -1.42%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV -3.65%E -0.769%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-27 18:26
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.28%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -3.65%E -0.769%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:25
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.28%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -3.65%E -0.769%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:22
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.65%E -0.769%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 17:55
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -3.65%E -0.769%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.55%EV -1.16%E -0.601%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%EV -4.67%E -0.993%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-27 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.55%EV -1.16%E -0.601%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%EV -4.67%E -0.993%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-27 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.55%EV -1.16%E -0.601%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%EV -4.67%E -0.993%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-27 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.81%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%EV -4.67%E -0.993%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-27 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.12%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.67%E -0.993%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.63%EV -3.21%E -1.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.03%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:26
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 18:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 17:55
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -7.31%E -4.04%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 18:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.37%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.55%EV -7.71%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -5.08%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 18:24
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -0.236%E -0.067%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 17:55
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 17:55
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 18:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.68%EV -8.84%E -4.97%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-27 18:25
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-27 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -5.77%E -3.14%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 18:25
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -2.70%E -1.42%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.82%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-27 17:26
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -12.78%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -12.78%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -12.78%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -12.78%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.97%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-08-27 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-08-27 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-08-27 18:25
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-08-27 18:20
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-27 18:25
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.42%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%2.9%2026-08-27 18:05