L’École des cotes

CA Osasuna v Sevilla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Prévision 44.37%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.672%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.03%44.43%44.44%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2250.00%47.43%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sevilla (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.76%3.60cote équitable
EV -0.069%
Avantage -0.019%
Kelly -0.027%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.89%27.71%27.79%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.403.403.6031.25%29.38%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.87%3.59cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.301%
Kelly -0.419%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.77%27.85%27.77%29.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.5533.33%29.62%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%EV -1.49%E -0.672%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.55%EV -0.624%E -0.174%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.02%EV -1.90%E -0.541%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-23 23:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.46%EV -3.27%E -1.50%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -2.29%E -0.650%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -3.58%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -3.27%E -1.50%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:05
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%EV -4.15%E -1.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.84%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.90%E -0.541%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:54
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%EV -4.15%E -1.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.84%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.90%E -0.541%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:54
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -9.78%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -2.46%E -0.703%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:59
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:03
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:43
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:54
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.33%EV -5.04%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -0.069%E -0.019%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -2.46%E -0.703%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:35
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.33%EV -5.04%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -0.069%E -0.019%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -2.46%E -0.703%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:34
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.33%EV -5.04%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -0.069%E -0.019%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -2.46%E -0.703%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.33%EV -5.04%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -0.069%E -0.019%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -2.46%E -0.703%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:35
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 44.67%EV -5.49%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.82%EV -5.07%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -3.58%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.57%EV -5.49%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:56
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.57%EV -5.49%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:54
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:54
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.02%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.69%EV -6.45%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:04
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -1.46%E -0.410%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:40
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.84%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:34
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.84%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.84%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.84%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 03:28
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:05
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:55
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 22:10
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:04
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:04
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.70%E -3.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -1.07%E -0.301%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:25
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.70%E -3.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:55
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -8.15%E -3.94%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -8.15%E -3.94%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:35
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -8.15%E -3.94%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:35
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -8.59%E -4.17%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:34
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.04%E -4.41%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.84%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.46%E -0.703%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:55
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -9.04%E -4.41%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.04%E -4.41%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:29
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.04%E -4.41%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.04%E -4.41%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.04%E -4.41%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 21:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.04%E -4.41%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.78%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 21:54
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -10.37%E -5.13%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:35
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.25%E -5.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 02:34
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.25%E -5.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.25%E -5.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.78%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -16.39%E -5.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.0%2026-04-24 03:35
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-04-24 00:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.9%2026-04-24 00:10