The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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CA Osasuna v Málaga

2026-11-22 17:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Osasuna (Local)

Prediction 53.47%1.87fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.25%53.61%53.44%54.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.741.751.8562.89%57.56%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Málaga (Visit)

Prediction 21.01%4.76fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.461%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%21.02%20.99%22.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.374.404.6826.32%22.91%22.73%21.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -0.455%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.157%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.19%25.36%25.57%25.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.703.9029.41%27.27%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CA Osasuna (Local): 53.47%; Málaga (Visit): 21.01%; Draw: 25.52%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.90, with an expected value of -0.455%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.25%EV -1.08%E -0.584%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.09%EV -1.91%E -0.408%K -0.519%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.65%EV -1.99%E -0.517%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.5%2026-11-04 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.28%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV -4.43%E -0.973%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.64%EV -4.54%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-04 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -3.75%E -2.09%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -9.05%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%EV -6.43%E -3.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.32%EV -1.70%E -0.362%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-04 15:10
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.43%E -3.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.42%EV -2.33%E -0.500%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 16:46
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.43%E -3.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -3.38%E -0.734%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.43%E -3.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -3.38%E -0.734%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.43%E -3.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -10.73%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-04 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.88%E -3.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-04 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -7.50%E -4.33%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.78%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 17:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -8.03%E -4.67%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -0.455%E -0.117%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.76%EV -11.24%E -6.77%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.63%EV -14.93%E -3.69%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.61%EV -12.71%E -3.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-04 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.25%EV -12.31%E -7.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -20.18%E -5.31%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.20%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-04 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 54.29%EV -14.98%E -9.42%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -13.88%E -3.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-04 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 51.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%16.7%2026-11-04 14:25