Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Osasuna v Levante

2026-08-24 17:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Osasuna (Local)

Prediction 54.87%1.82fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.35%54.97%54.56%56.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7661.73%59.11%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levante (Visit)

Prediction 20.06%4.98fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.372%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 5.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%19.96%20.31%21.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.654.705.0625.00%21.52%21.28%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.253%
Kelly +0.337%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.47%25.07%25.13%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.733.754.0328.99%26.83%26.67%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CA Osasuna (Local): 54.87%; Levante (Visit): 20.06%; Draw: 25.07%. For Levante (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.06, producing a positive expected value of +1.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 56.04%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.49%EV +1.51%E +0.299%K +0.372%G +0.006%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.47%EV +1.02%E +0.253%K +0.337%G +0.003%1.4%2026-08-02 10:58
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.307%E +0.061%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.49%E -0.907%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 11:00
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.307%E +0.061%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:59
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -1.70%E -0.347%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -3.70%E -0.772%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 10:59
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -3.70%E -0.772%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:00
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.71%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 10:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -4.71%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:59
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -5.71%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 11:35
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.72%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.72%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 11:45
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.66%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -11.73%E -2.67%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 11:34
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -12.73%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -11.51%E -3.26%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 11:38
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -13.74%E -3.19%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.35%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -19.75%E -4.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.05%EV -13.52%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 53.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%16.4%2026-08-02 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 45.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 24.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 29.34%24.4%2026-08-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 45.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 24.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 29.34%24.4%2026-08-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 45.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 24.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 29.34%24.4%2026-08-02 12:55