La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Sevilla

Inizio: 2026-03-15 15:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 72.93%1.37quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -6.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.23%73.10%72.89%76.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.291.301.3480.65%77.41%76.92%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sevilla (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.02%9.07quota equa
EV +15.76%
Vantaggio +1.50%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescita +0.261%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.08%10.91%11.03%12.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.508.938.8510.5013.33%11.19%11.30%9.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.05%6.23quota equa
EV +4.29%
Vantaggio +0.661%
Kelly +0.781%
Crescita +0.034%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.60%15.99%16.08%19.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.765.806.5022.22%17.36%17.24%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +15.76%E +1.50%K +1.66%G +0.261%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 14:30
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +15.76%E +1.50%K +1.66%G +0.261%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV +4.29%E +0.661%K +0.781%G +0.034%4.9%2026-03-15 15:10
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-15 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 14:30
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 14:30
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.15%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:30
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.15%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:30
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.15%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:30
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.15%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:30
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +4.29%E +0.661%K +0.781%G +0.034%5.4%2026-03-15 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.38%E -5.81%K -27.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:30
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.38%E -5.81%K -27.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:30
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.38%E -5.81%K -27.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:30
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -19.77%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:05
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +8.04%E +0.821%K +0.914%G +0.074%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -13.36%E -2.47%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:10
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +8.04%E +0.821%K +0.914%G +0.074%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -13.36%E -2.47%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV +7.49%E +0.768%K +0.856%G +0.064%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 10:25
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +4.74%E +0.498%K +0.557%G +0.026%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 10:20
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +4.74%E +0.498%K +0.557%G +0.026%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 14:30
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.57%E -7.72%K -39.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV +4.74%E +0.498%K +0.557%G +0.026%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -10.15%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 14:30
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.14%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.52%EV +1.98%E +0.214%K +0.240%G +0.005%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.35%EV -4.53%E -0.761%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-15 15:10
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.38%EV -3.73%E -2.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.47%EV +1.98%E +0.214%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.38%EV -3.73%E -2.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.47%EV +1.98%E +0.214%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 14:40
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.95%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.55%EV +1.43%E +0.155%K +0.174%G +0.002%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%EV -5.65%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.00%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.11I 10.98%NM 10.66%EV +0.436%E +0.048%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.34%EV -4.69%E -0.790%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 15:10
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -0.777%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -0.777%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:05
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -0.777%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:09
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -0.777%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -19.77%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:00
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 72.79%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.39%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.77%EV -2.43%E -0.275%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.44%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.11%EV -5.19%E -0.603%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -0.519%E -0.084%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -3.73%E -2.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 14:45
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.89%EV -3.73%E -2.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -10.15%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 15:03
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.15%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 14:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:30
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:30
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -7.39%E -0.880%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.24%EV -9.34%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.71%EV -2.27%E -1.70%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.72%EV -9.60%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.57%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.78%EV -10.70%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:05
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV +0.283%E +0.045%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:05
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -8.54%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -19.77%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 15:00
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -19.77%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -14.56%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -14.56%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:05
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -27.80%E -6.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-15 14:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-03-15 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-03-15 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.81%1.2%2026-03-15 15:10
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.74%2.5%2026-03-15 15:10