La escuela de los momios

Barcelona v Sevilla

Inicio: 2026-03-15 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barcelona (Local)

Predicción 72.93%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -6.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.23%73.10%72.89%76.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.291.301.3480.65%77.41%76.92%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sevilla (Visitante)

Predicción 11.02%9.07momio equitativo
EV +15.76%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.261%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.08%10.91%11.03%12.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.938.8510.5013.33%11.19%11.30%9.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 16.05%6.23momio equitativo
EV +4.29%
Ventaja +0.661%
Kelly +0.781%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.60%15.99%16.08%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.765.806.5022.22%17.36%17.24%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +15.76%E +1.50%K +1.66%G +0.261%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 14:30
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +15.76%E +1.50%K +1.66%G +0.261%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV +4.29%E +0.661%K +0.781%G +0.034%4.9%2026-03-15 15:10
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-15 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 14:30
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 14:30
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.15%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:30
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.15%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:30
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.15%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:30
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.15%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:30
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +4.29%E +0.661%K +0.781%G +0.034%5.4%2026-03-15 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.38%E -5.81%K -27.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:30
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.38%E -5.81%K -27.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:30
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.38%E -5.81%K -27.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:30
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +10.25%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -19.77%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:05
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +8.04%E +0.821%K +0.914%G +0.074%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -13.36%E -2.47%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:10
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +8.04%E +0.821%K +0.914%G +0.074%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -13.36%E -2.47%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV +7.49%E +0.768%K +0.856%G +0.064%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 10:25
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +4.74%E +0.498%K +0.557%G +0.026%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 10:20
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +4.74%E +0.498%K +0.557%G +0.026%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 14:30
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.57%E -7.72%K -39.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV +4.74%E +0.498%K +0.557%G +0.026%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -10.15%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 14:30
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.14%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.52%EV +1.98%E +0.214%K +0.240%G +0.005%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.35%EV -4.53%E -0.761%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-15 15:10
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.38%EV -3.73%E -2.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.47%EV +1.98%E +0.214%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.38%EV -3.73%E -2.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.47%EV +1.98%E +0.214%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 14:40
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.95%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.55%EV +1.43%E +0.155%K +0.174%G +0.002%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%EV -5.65%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.00%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.11I 10.98%NM 10.66%EV +0.436%E +0.048%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.34%EV -4.69%E -0.790%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 15:10
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -0.777%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -0.777%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:05
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -0.777%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:09
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -0.777%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -19.77%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:00
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 72.79%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.39%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.77%EV -2.43%E -0.275%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.44%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.11%EV -5.19%E -0.603%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -0.519%E -0.084%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -3.73%E -2.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 14:45
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.89%EV -3.73%E -2.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -10.15%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 15:03
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.15%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 14:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:30
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.74%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:30
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -7.39%E -0.880%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.24%EV -9.34%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.71%EV -2.27%E -1.70%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.72%EV -9.60%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.57%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.00%E -2.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.78%EV -10.70%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:05
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV +0.283%E +0.045%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:05
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -8.54%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.73%E -0.621%K -0.746%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -19.77%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 15:00
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -19.77%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -14.56%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -5.19%E -3.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -14.56%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -6.94%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:05
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.75%E -2.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -27.80%E -6.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-15 14:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-03-15 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-03-15 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.81%1.2%2026-03-15 15:10
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.74%2.5%2026-03-15 15:10