La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano

Inizio: 2026-03-22 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 77.97%1.28quota equa
EV -2.54%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -10.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.21%77.89%78.04%80.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.211.211.2586.21%82.74%82.64%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.70%11.49quota equa
EV +13.14%
Vantaggio +1.01%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescita +0.144%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.23%8.79%8.60%10.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5011.0311.0013.0011.76%9.07%9.09%7.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 13.33%7.50quota equa
EV +6.60%
Vantaggio +0.826%
Kelly +0.944%
Crescita +0.062%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.84%13.32%13.35%16.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.507.117.058.0018.18%14.07%14.18%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +13.14%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.144%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 80.12%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.93%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +8.79%E +0.703%K +0.764%G +0.067%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +6.60%E +0.826%K +0.944%G +0.062%3.1%2026-03-22 12:00
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +8.79%E +0.703%K +0.764%G +0.067%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -14.72%E -2.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 10:00
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +8.79%E +0.703%K +0.764%G +0.067%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -14.72%E -2.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 09:59
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 78.77%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.94%EV +7.92%E +0.639%K +0.695%G +0.055%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.29%EV -1.26%E -0.170%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.81%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.91%EV +6.62%E +0.540%K +0.588%G +0.039%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.28%EV -2.72%E -0.373%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 12:00
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.96%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 79.09%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.09%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 11:59
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 11:59
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Sky Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV +6.60%E +0.826%K +0.944%G +0.062%5.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 04:02
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 12:00
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.44%EV -8.77%E -7.50%K -51.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -8.77%E -7.50%K -51.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 11:59
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.31%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.30%EV +1.83%E +0.156%K +0.171%G +0.003%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.39%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 01:45
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.54%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.06%EV -1.39%E -0.188%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.54%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.06%EV -1.39%E -0.188%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 12:00
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 12:00
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 12:00
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -9.55%E -8.24%K -59.71%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 11:59
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.27%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%11.46I 8.73%NM 8.40%EV -0.260%E -0.023%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.33%EV -3.79%E -0.525%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 12:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 09:59
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.23%EV -4.06%E -0.563%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.07%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV +1.27%E +0.168%K +0.193%G +0.002%6.3%2026-03-22 12:00
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 11:59
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 11:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.67%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.82%EV -2.72%E -0.373%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 04:40
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 11:59
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:00
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -20.05%E -3.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 06:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -8.77%E -7.50%K -51.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -26.71%E -4.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 11:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 77.65%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.81%EV -6.44%E -0.599%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 11:59
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.60%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.55I 9.48%NM 8.97%EV -8.18%E -0.775%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.43%EV -6.05%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV -8.62%E -0.821%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 12:00
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -8.62%E -0.821%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 09:00
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -8.62%E -0.821%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -8.62%E -0.821%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 77.75%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -10.79%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.30%EV -8.05%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:09
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 09:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 11:59
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.58%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.91%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -17.32%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.16%EV +3.27%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016%6.1%2026-03-22 11:59
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.32%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 09:59
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.29%EV -19.49%E -2.11%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 06:20
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -21.67%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 06:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -21.67%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 04:39
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -21.67%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -26.02%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -10.05%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 04:40
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -26.02%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -10.05%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 04:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.78%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.78%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.78%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-03-22 11:59
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.9%2026-03-22 12:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-22 11:59
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.86%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.81%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%1.4%2026-03-22 11:59