La escuela de los momios

Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano

Inicio: 2026-03-22 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barcelona (Local)

Predicción 77.97%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -10.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.21%77.89%78.04%80.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.211.211.2586.21%82.74%82.64%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)

Predicción 8.70%11.49momio equitativo
EV +13.14%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.144%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.23%8.79%8.60%10.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5011.0311.0013.0011.76%9.07%9.09%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 13.33%7.50momio equitativo
EV +6.60%
Ventaja +0.826%
Kelly +0.944%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.84%13.32%13.35%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.507.117.058.0018.18%14.07%14.18%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +13.14%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.144%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 80.12%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.93%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +8.79%E +0.703%K +0.764%G +0.067%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +6.60%E +0.826%K +0.944%G +0.062%3.1%2026-03-22 12:00
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +8.79%E +0.703%K +0.764%G +0.067%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -14.72%E -2.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 10:00
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +8.79%E +0.703%K +0.764%G +0.067%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -14.72%E -2.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 09:59
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 78.77%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.94%EV +7.92%E +0.639%K +0.695%G +0.055%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.29%EV -1.26%E -0.170%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.81%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.91%EV +6.62%E +0.540%K +0.588%G +0.039%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.28%EV -2.72%E -0.373%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 12:00
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.96%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 79.09%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.09%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 11:59
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 11:59
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Sky Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV +6.60%E +0.826%K +0.944%G +0.062%5.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 04:02
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 12:00
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.44%EV -8.77%E -7.50%K -51.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -8.77%E -7.50%K -51.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +4.44%E +0.370%K +0.404%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 11:59
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.31%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.30%EV +1.83%E +0.156%K +0.171%G +0.003%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.39%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 01:45
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.54%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.06%EV -1.39%E -0.188%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.54%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.06%EV -1.39%E -0.188%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 12:00
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 12:00
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 12:00
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -9.55%E -8.24%K -59.71%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +0.088%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 11:59
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.27%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%11.46I 8.73%NM 8.40%EV -0.260%E -0.023%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.33%EV -3.79%E -0.525%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 12:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 09:59
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.23%EV -4.06%E -0.563%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.07%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV +1.27%E +0.168%K +0.193%G +0.002%6.3%2026-03-22 12:00
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 11:59
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 11:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.67%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.82%EV -2.72%E -0.373%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 04:40
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 11:59
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:00
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -20.05%E -3.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 06:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -8.77%E -7.50%K -51.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -4.26%E -0.388%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -26.71%E -4.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 11:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 77.65%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.81%EV -6.44%E -0.599%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 11:59
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.60%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.55I 9.48%NM 8.97%EV -8.18%E -0.775%K -0.857%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.43%EV -6.05%E -0.859%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV -8.62%E -0.821%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 12:00
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -8.62%E -0.821%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -0.058%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 09:00
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -8.62%E -0.821%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -8.62%E -0.821%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 77.75%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.41%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -10.79%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.30%EV -8.05%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:09
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 09:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 11:59
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.58%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -12.97%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.91%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -17.32%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.16%EV +3.27%E +0.422%K +0.485%G +0.016%6.1%2026-03-22 11:59
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.32%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 09:59
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.29%EV -19.49%E -2.11%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 06:20
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -21.67%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 06:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -21.67%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 04:39
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -21.67%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -26.02%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -10.05%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 04:40
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -3.32%E -2.67%K -13.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -26.02%E -3.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -10.05%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 04:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.78%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.78%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-03-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.78%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-03-22 11:59
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.9%2026-03-22 12:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-22 11:59
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.86%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.81%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%1.4%2026-03-22 11:59