Idioma:Español
Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano
Resultado del partido
Barcelona (Local)
Predicción 77.49%1.29momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -9.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.79%77.48%77.34%80.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.201.2685.47%82.67%83.33%79.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)
Predicción 8.12%12.32momio equitativo
EV +17.73%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.233%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.52%8.06%8.26%10.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.0011.7512.0014.5012.50%8.51%8.33%6.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 14.39%6.95momio equitativo
EV +7.94%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.097%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.61%14.47%14.40%16.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.306.507.5018.18%15.86%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Barcelona (Local): 77.49%; Rayo Vallecano (Visitante): 8.12%; Empate: 14.39%. Para Rayo Vallecano (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 12.32. 10 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 14.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +17.73%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (25 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.89%EV -4.69%E -3.81%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +17.73%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.233% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.59%EV -17.96%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.89%EV -4.69%E -3.81%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +17.73%E +1.22%K +1.31%G +0.233% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.59%EV -17.96%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +13.67%E +0.976%K +1.05%G +0.144% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.45%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.17%EV -2.36%E -1.88%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.35%EV +8.80%E +0.657%K +0.709%G +0.062% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48%EV -2.13%E -0.314%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-23 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -3.91%E -3.16%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.32%EV +7.58%E +0.572%K +0.619%G +0.047% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.47%EV -3.57%E -0.533%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.46%E -4.48%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +5.55%E +0.427%K +0.463%G +0.026% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -6.45%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.56%E -7.26%K -47.58%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +5.55%E +0.427%K +0.463%G +0.026% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +7.94%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.097% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -8.56%E -7.26%K -47.58%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +5.55%E +0.427%K +0.463%G +0.026% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +5.55%E +0.427%K +0.463%G +0.026% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -20.84%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.80%EV -5.46%E -4.48%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +1.49%E +0.119%K +0.130%G +0.002% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.45%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -2.57%E -0.214%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.45%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -2.57%E -0.214%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.56%E -7.26%K -47.58%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -2.57%E -0.214%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -6.45%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.27%EV -5.46%E -4.48%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 11.89I 8.41%NM 8.03%EV -3.46%E -0.291%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.70%EV +0.314%E +0.045%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.89%EV -3.91%E -3.16%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -10.69%E -0.972%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.45%EV -5.01%E -0.759%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -4.69%E -3.81%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.69%E -0.972%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.46%E -4.48%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -10.69%E -0.972%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.46%E -4.48%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -10.69%E -0.972%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -10.69%E -0.972%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.45%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.94%EV -16.78%E -1.64%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -18.81%E -1.88%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -6.45%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.22%EV -7.01%E -5.84%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -18.81%E -1.88%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.79%E -6.55%K -40.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -22.87%E -2.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.42%EV -16.53%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.72%EV -6.24%E -5.16%K -29.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -26.93%E -2.99%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -6.45%E -0.992%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.79%EV -9.34%E -7.98%K -54.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.79%EV -35.05%E -4.38%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.42%EV -19.40%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.14% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.95% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91% | 2.7% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.14% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.95% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91% | 2.7% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.14% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.95% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91% | 2.7% | 2026-08-23 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.12% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.13% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 19:30 |
Arbitraje (3 combinaciones) +0.41%1xBet 1.26 (79.7%) / Betsson 14.50 (6.9%) / Tipico (DE) 7.50 (13.4%)Ver las 3 combinaciones
| Barcelona (Local) | Rayo Vallecano (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 1.26 (79.7%) | Betsson🎯 14.50 (6.9%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 7.50 (13.4%) | +0.407% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.26 (79.7%) | NordicBet🎯 14.50 (6.9%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 7.50 (13.4%) | +0.407% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.26 (79.5%) | SportsBet🎯 14.00 (7.2%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 7.50 (13.4%) | +0.159% |