Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barcelona v Getafe

2026-10-10 16:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barcelona (Local)

Prediction 88.93%1.12fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -3.67%
Kelly -49.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.48%88.59%88.93%92.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.34%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Getafe (Visit)

Prediction 4.05%24.69fair odd
EV +57.98%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.885%

assuming max odds 39.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.53%4.04%4.05%5.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.5023.4523.0039.006.90%4.26%4.35%2.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 7.02%14.24fair odd
EV +29.95%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.512%

assuming max odds 18.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.33%7.37%7.02%9.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0013.1513.0018.5011.11%7.61%7.69%5.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barcelona (Local): 88.93%; Getafe (Visit): 4.05%; Draw: 7.02%. For Getafe (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 24.69. 11 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 39.00, producing a positive expected value of +57.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 92.14%EV -4.85%E -4.53%K -69.29%G +0.000%39.00I 2.56%NM 2.53%EV +57.98%E +1.49%K +1.53%G +0.885%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.33%EV +29.95%E +1.62%K +1.71%G +0.512%1.4%2026-09-17 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.08%EV -6.63%E -6.31%K -132.57%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV +17.47%E +0.602%K +0.624%G +0.109%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +19.41%E +1.14%K +1.21%G +0.235%4.6%2026-09-17 13:20
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.08%EV -6.63%E -6.31%K -132.57%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV +17.47%E +0.602%K +0.624%G +0.109%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +19.41%E +1.14%K +1.21%G +0.235%4.6%2026-09-17 13:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.80%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.40%EV +13.42%E +0.479%K +0.497%G +0.067%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV -1.66%E -0.119%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.10%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +5.32%E +0.205%K +0.213%G +0.011%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -8.69%E -0.668%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 12:51
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.26%EV -3.96%E -3.67%K -49.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +1.27%E +0.051%K +0.053%G +0.001%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV -1.66%E -0.119%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.26%EV -3.96%E -3.67%K -49.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +1.27%E +0.051%K +0.053%G +0.001%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV -1.66%E -0.119%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 12:39
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.26%EV -3.96%E -3.67%K -49.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +1.27%E +0.051%K +0.053%G +0.001%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV -1.66%E -0.119%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.26%EV -3.96%E -3.67%K -49.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +1.27%E +0.051%K +0.053%G +0.001%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV -1.66%E -0.119%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.26%EV -3.96%E -3.67%K -49.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +1.27%E +0.051%K +0.053%G +0.001%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV -1.66%E -0.119%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.76%EV +1.27%E +0.051%K +0.053%G +0.001%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -12.20%E -0.976%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 13:26
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.03%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%23.83I 4.20%NM 4.00%EV -3.47%E -0.146%K -0.152%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.96%EV +12.39%E +0.774%K +0.826%G +0.102%4.8%2026-09-17 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.67%EV -4.85%E -4.53%K -69.29%G +0.000%23.50I 4.26%NM 4.04%EV -4.81%E -0.205%K -0.214%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -8.69%E -0.668%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.59%EV -4.85%E -4.53%K -69.29%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.83%E -0.297%K -0.311%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -8.69%E -0.668%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 12:40
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.59%EV -4.85%E -4.53%K -69.29%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.83%E -0.297%K -0.311%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -8.69%E -0.668%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.59%EV -4.85%E -4.53%K -69.29%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.83%E -0.297%K -0.311%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -8.69%E -0.668%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 12:39
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.43%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV -6.83%E -0.297%K -0.311%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -12.20%E -0.976%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.81%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -14.93%E -0.711%K -0.747%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -15.71%E -1.31%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:39
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.81%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -14.93%E -0.711%K -0.747%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -15.71%E -1.31%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.81%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -14.93%E -0.711%K -0.747%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -15.71%E -1.31%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.81%EV -5.74%E -5.41%K -95.65%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -14.93%E -0.711%K -0.747%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -15.71%E -1.31%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.95%EV -7.52%E -7.23%K -187.94%G +0.000%19.25I 5.19%NM 4.64%EV -22.02%E -1.14%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -33.27%E -3.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.36%EV -7.52%E -7.23%K -187.94%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -23.04%E -1.21%K -1.28%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.81%EV -5.18%E -0.383%K -0.414%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -6.63%E -6.31%K -132.57%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -23.04%E -1.21%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -15.71%E -1.31%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.22%EV -6.63%E -6.31%K -132.57%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -23.04%E -1.21%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV -19.22%E -1.67%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-17 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -8.41%E -8.16%K -280.23%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.88%EV -27.09%E -1.50%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV -36.78%E -4.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 84.48%EV -9.30%E -9.11%K -464.81%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 5.94%EV -41.26%E -2.85%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.57%EV -36.78%E -4.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-17 13:26
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 83.80%15.50I 6.45%NM 5.51%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.68%17.0%2026-09-17 13:35