默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlético Madrid v Villarreal

开赛时间: 2026-08-23 15:00 UTC

最终结果: Atlético Madrid 2–2 Villarreal

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlético Madrid (主队)

预测 52.84%1.89公平赔率
EV -2.77%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -3.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.84

博彩公司预测分布
51.64%52.83%52.86%54.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.791.801.8458.48%55.88%55.56%54.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Villarreal (客队)

预测 22.53%4.44公平赔率
EV +1.37%
优势 +0.304%
Kelly +0.391%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
21.03%22.52%22.53%23.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.174.204.5026.32%23.96%23.81%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.63%4.06公平赔率
EV -1.47%
优势 -0.368%
Kelly -0.491%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.68%24.65%24.61%26.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.823.814.0027.78%26.18%26.25%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlético Madrid (主队):52.84%;Villarreal (客队):22.53%;平局:24.63%。 对于“Villarreal (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.44。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.50,对应+1.37%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.69%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV +0.241%E +0.054%K +0.070%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.59%EV -3.20%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.69%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV +0.241%E +0.054%K +0.070%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.59%EV -3.20%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.36%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.87%EV +0.016%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.77%EV -3.44%E -0.878%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 14:45
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.81%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.91%EV -0.435%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.28%EV -1.72%E -0.431%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.25%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%EV -0.885%E -0.201%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.72%EV -3.44%E -0.878%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -0.885%E -0.201%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.885%E -0.201%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%EV -2.01%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%EV -2.01%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%EV -2.01%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.78%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -2.01%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -2.01%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 14:45
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -2.46%E -0.569%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:33
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.05%EV -4.36%E -2.41%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -3.14%E -0.730%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -3.14%E -0.730%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.98%EV -5.41%E -3.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -3.14%E -0.730%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 14:15
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.14%E -0.730%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 14:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.14%E -0.730%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 14:15
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -4.26%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.87%EV -5.91%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -4.26%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:35
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -4.26%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 14:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -5.41%E -3.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:45
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -5.41%E -3.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:45
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -5.41%E -3.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:44
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -5.41%E -3.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.58%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.04%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:45
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.81%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%EV -8.77%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 14:54
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.64%E -5.64%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.41%EV -8.77%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 14:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 14:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 14:47
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.00%E -3.98%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.00%E -3.98%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.00%E -3.98%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -8.58%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-08-23 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-08-23 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-23 14:55
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-08-23 14:45
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-08-23 14:55
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-08-23 14:25