默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletic Bilbao v Elche CF

2026-09-12 16:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletic Bilbao (主队)

预测 58.82%1.70公平赔率
EV -4.12%
优势 -2.53%
Kelly -6.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
57.44%58.74%58.92%59.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.571.571.6367.11%63.71%63.69%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Elche CF (客队)

预测 17.05%5.86公平赔率
EV -2.79%
优势 -0.490%
Kelly -0.594%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.70

博彩公司预测分布
16.51%17.21%16.94%18.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.445.605.7021.28%18.37%17.86%17.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.13%4.14公平赔率
EV -3.50%
优势 -0.874%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.30%24.05%24.15%24.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.893.954.0027.78%25.71%25.32%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Athletic Bilbao (主队):58.82%;Elche CF (客队):17.05%;平局:24.13%。 对于“Elche CF (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.86。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为5.70,期望值为-2.79%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.12%EV -4.12%E -2.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.01%EV -10.29%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.86%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.91%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.91%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -5.30%E -3.29%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 19:25
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.07%E -4.47%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -6.20%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -2.79%E -0.490%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.50%E -0.874%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:05
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -11.32%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 21:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.24%E -5.28%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -11.32%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -9.42%E -6.12%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.82%EV -7.91%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.53%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 19:28
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.87%EV -9.42%E -6.12%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.87%EV -9.42%E -6.12%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.61%EV -11.77%E -7.85%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.39%EV -19.84%E -4.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -13.15%E -3.65%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -12.36%E -8.29%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 19:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 47.27%2.50I 40.00%NM 31.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 21.72%29.0%2026-08-31 02:00