Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Athletic Bilbao v Elche CF

2026-09-12 16:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Athletic Bilbao (Casa)

Previsione 58.82%1.70quota equa
EV -4.12%
Vantaggio -2.53%
Kelly -6.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.44%58.74%58.92%59.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.571.571.6367.11%63.71%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Elche CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.05%5.86quota equa
EV -2.79%
Vantaggio -0.490%
Kelly -0.594%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.51%17.21%16.94%18.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.445.605.7021.28%18.37%17.86%17.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.13%4.14quota equa
EV -3.50%
Vantaggio -0.874%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.30%24.05%24.15%24.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.893.954.0027.78%25.71%25.32%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Athletic Bilbao (Casa): 58.82%; Elche CF (Trasferta): 17.05%; Pareggio: 24.13%. Per Elche CF (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.86. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 5.70, con un valore atteso del -2.79%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.12%EV -4.12%E -2.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.01%EV -10.29%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.86%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.91%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -7.91%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -5.30%E -3.29%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 19:25
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -14.73%E -2.95%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.07%E -4.47%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -6.20%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -2.79%E -0.490%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.50%E -0.874%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:05
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -4.50%E -0.803%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.65%E -4.87%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -11.32%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 21:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.24%E -5.28%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -11.32%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -9.42%E -6.12%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.82%EV -7.91%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.53%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 19:28
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.87%EV -9.42%E -6.12%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.87%EV -9.42%E -6.12%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.61%EV -11.77%E -7.85%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.39%EV -19.84%E -4.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -13.15%E -3.65%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -12.36%E -8.29%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 19:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 47.27%2.50I 40.00%NM 31.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 21.72%29.0%2026-08-31 02:00