مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Bilbao v CA Osasuna

البداية: 2026-04-21 17:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletic Bilbao 1–0 CA Osasuna

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.01%1.96السعر العادل
EV -1.03%
الأفضلية -0.533%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.07%51.16%50.89%53.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.851.851.9457.80%54.13%54.05%51.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CA Osasuna (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.47%4.66السعر العادل
EV +1.35%
الأفضلية +0.286%
Kelly +0.363%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.49%21.53%21.42%23.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.384.414.7226.67%22.81%22.70%21.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.51%3.63السعر العادل
EV +4.55%
الأفضلية +1.20%
Kelly +1.63%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.88%27.31%27.69%28.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.443.403.8033.33%29.08%29.41%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV +4.55%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.074%5.8%2026-04-21 17:01
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -9.71%E -5.48%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV +1.80%E +0.487%K +0.667%G +0.012%5.7%2026-04-21 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.22%E -5.80%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +1.80%E +0.487%K +0.667%G +0.012%7.7%2026-04-21 17:01
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 17:01
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.65%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 17:01
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -7.16%E -3.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -7.16%E -3.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 16:59
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.30%EV -5.12%E -2.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.61%EV +1.35%E +0.286%K +0.363%G +0.005%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.10%EV -1.22%E -0.341%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 16:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.49%EV +1.35%E +0.286%K +0.363%G +0.005%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -2.33%E -0.655%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.49%EV +1.35%E +0.286%K +0.363%G +0.005%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -2.33%E -0.655%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 17:01
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.17%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -10.89%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -2.33%E -0.655%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 17:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.17%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -10.89%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -2.33%E -0.655%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 17:01
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -4.09%E -2.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:01
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.65%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:01
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.65%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.65%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 17:00
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.16%E -3.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:59
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -7.67%E -4.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -9.20%E -5.17%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 17:00
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -1.03%E -0.533%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.99%EV -5.31%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.03%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.04%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -0.153%E -0.033%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV +0.921%E +0.196%K +0.249%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 17:01
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 17:01
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -1.03%E -0.533%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV -4.45%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.20%EV -5.35%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 16:59
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 51.11%EV -4.60%E -2.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 17:01
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 51.11%EV -4.60%E -2.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 17:00
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 51.11%EV -4.60%E -2.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.11%EV -4.60%E -2.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 17:01
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.99%EV -4.60%E -2.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.96%EV -2.30%E -0.505%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 16:59
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -4.60%E -2.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:01
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:01
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 17:01
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 17:01
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -6.65%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.23%E -0.267%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -4.09%E -2.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 17:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 17:00
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 16:59
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.09%E -2.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 16:58
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:01
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.91%EV -4.60%E -2.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 17:01
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.65%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 17:00
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.65%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 16:57
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.18%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -3.37%E -0.750%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 17:01
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 16:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -6.14%E -3.33%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:01
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.65%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 16:59
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -7.67%E -4.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 17:01
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -8.18%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 17:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.63%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 17:00
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -8.18%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%EV -10.89%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.75%E -6.79%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -19.48%E -5.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-21 17:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.01%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-04-21 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%0.2%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-21 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-04-21 17:01
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-04-21 17:00