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Athletic Bilbao v Atlético Madrid
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletic Bilbao (Local)
Prediction 31.17%3.21fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.123%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%31.23%31.20%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.33%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético Madrid (Visit)
Prediction 41.13%2.43fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.77%41.10%41.13%41.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.302.302.4045.87%43.47%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.70%3.61fair odd
EV -0.269%
Edge -0.075%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.67%27.66%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.403.6030.77%29.26%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletic Bilbao (Local): 31.17%; Atlético Madrid (Visit): 41.13%; Draw: 27.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.269%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%EV -0.270%E -0.084%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%EV -1.28%E -0.535%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -0.270%E -0.084%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%EV -1.83%E -0.580%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.53%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -1.65%E -0.466%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%EV -1.83%E -0.580%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.53%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -1.65%E -0.466%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%EV -1.83%E -0.580%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.53%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -1.65%E -0.466%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%EV -1.83%E -0.580%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.53%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -1.65%E -0.466%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.83%E -0.580%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.06%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.17%EV -4.70%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.81%EV -2.14%E -0.682%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.70%EV -4.58%E -1.97%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.48%E -0.706%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -3.39%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%EV -2.11%E -0.886%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.39%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -4.58%E -1.97%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.39%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.49%EV -4.32%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.21%E -0.625%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.49%EV -4.32%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.21%E -0.625%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.73%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.58%E -1.97%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.58%E -1.97%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.91%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -0.269%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.28%EV -10.33%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.11%E -0.886%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.18%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -0.269%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |