預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alavés v Valencia

2026-09-15 18:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

獨贏

20 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alavés (主隊)

預測 42.57%2.35公平賠率
EV -2.52%
優勢 -1.10%
Kelly -1.95%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.29

博彩公司預測分布
41.79%42.48%42.59%43.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.052.192.202.2948.78%45.63%45.45%43.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Valencia (客隊)

預測 27.33%3.66公平賠率
EV -1.07%
優勢 -0.295%
Kelly -0.408%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.62

博彩公司預測分布
26.71%27.33%27.37%28.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.053.383.403.6232.79%29.56%29.41%27.62%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 30.10%3.32公平賠率
EV -0.361%
優勢 -0.109%
Kelly -0.156%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.31

博彩公司預測分布
29.13%30.19%30.04%31.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.953.113.103.3133.90%32.13%32.26%30.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Alavés (主隊):42.57%;Valencia (客隊):27.33%;和局:30.10%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.32的公平十進位賠率。 沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率:目前最佳賠率為3.31,期望值為-0.361%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (20 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 43.02%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.22%EV -1.07%E -0.295%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.76%EV -0.361%E -0.109%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-06 10:50
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.22%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.22%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.22%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:24
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -5.50%E -2.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.98%E -0.840%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -5.50%E -2.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.98%E -0.840%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 11:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.17%E -0.667%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 10:05
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 09:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 11:24
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 10:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 10:14
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.76%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.25%EV -8.99%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.95%EV -8.79%E -2.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -12.73%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -16.65%E -5.46%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -11.20%E -3.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-06 10:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 41.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%9.0%2026-09-06 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-06 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-06 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-06 10:35