La escuela de los momios

Alavés v Girona

Inicio: 2026-02-23 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alavés (Local)

Predicción 39.76%2.51momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.561%
Kelly -0.939%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.36%39.73%39.79%41.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.382.4844.44%42.17%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Girona (Visitante)

Predicción 29.29%3.41momio equitativo
EV -0.400%
Ventaja -0.118%
Kelly -0.166%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.99%29.34%29.32%31.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.223.253.4035.71%31.09%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.94%3.23momio equitativo
EV -0.980%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.445%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.66%30.93%30.90%31.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.053.2035.71%33.07%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -1.39%E -0.561%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-23 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-23 19:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-23 19:39
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-23 19:45
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.08%EV -3.38%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.81%EV -0.985%E -0.292%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.11%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-23 19:55
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -3.38%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 19:45
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.05%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.28%EV -3.04%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.22%E -0.702%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-23 19:50
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.92%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.45%E -0.736%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.06%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-23 19:35
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.92%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.45%E -0.736%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.06%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-23 19:40
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.30%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 19:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -0.980%E -0.306%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 19:54
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -0.980%E -0.306%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 19:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 19:25
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 19:35
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 19:53
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 19:54
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 19:20
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 19:48
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 19:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 19:47
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:55
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 39.90%EV -4.97%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-23 19:55
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -3.46%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 19:48
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 19:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:54
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:44
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 19:40
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.10%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.60%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.10%E -2.73%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 19:53
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:35
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 19:45
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:35
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:44
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:34
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:34
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-23 19:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:50
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.93%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.92%EV -8.10%E -2.73%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:39
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-23 19:34
Unibet (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -9.34%E -4.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -4.69%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 19:55
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -17.98%E -6.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.36%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-23 19:50
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-23 19:50
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-02-23 19:50