مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alavés v Girona

البداية: 2026-02-23 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alavés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.76%2.51السعر العادل
EV -1.39%
الأفضلية -0.561%
Kelly -0.939%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.36%39.73%39.79%41.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.372.382.4844.44%42.17%42.02%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Girona (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.29%3.41السعر العادل
EV -0.400%
الأفضلية -0.118%
Kelly -0.166%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.99%29.34%29.32%31.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.223.253.4035.71%31.09%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.94%3.23السعر العادل
EV -0.980%
الأفضلية -0.306%
Kelly -0.445%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.66%30.93%30.90%31.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.023.053.2035.71%33.07%32.79%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -1.39%E -0.561%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-23 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-23 19:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-23 19:39
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-23 19:45
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.08%EV -3.38%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.81%EV -0.985%E -0.292%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.11%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-23 19:55
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -3.38%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -0.400%E -0.118%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 19:45
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.05%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.28%EV -3.04%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.22%E -0.702%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-23 19:50
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.92%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.45%E -0.736%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.06%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-23 19:35
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.92%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.45%E -0.736%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.06%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-23 19:40
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.30%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 19:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -0.980%E -0.306%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 19:54
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -0.980%E -0.306%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 19:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 19:25
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 19:35
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 19:53
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 19:54
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 19:20
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 19:48
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 19:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 19:47
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:55
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 39.90%EV -4.97%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-23 19:55
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -3.46%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 19:48
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 19:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:54
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:44
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:45
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 19:40
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.10%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.60%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.10%E -2.73%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 19:53
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:35
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.72%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 19:45
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:35
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:44
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:34
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 19:34
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-23 19:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:50
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.93%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.92%EV -8.10%E -2.73%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:39
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-23 19:34
Unibet (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -9.34%E -4.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -4.69%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 19:55
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -17.98%E -6.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.36%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-23 19:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-23 19:50
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-23 19:50
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-02-23 19:50