A Escola das Odds

Alavés v Barcelona

Início: 2026-05-13 19:30 UTC

Final: Alavés 1–0 Barcelona

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alavés (Local)

Previsão 31.44%3.18odd justa
EV +2.50%
Vantagem +0.766%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.98%31.38%31.44%32.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.023.003.2635.71%33.08%33.33%30.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barcelona (Visitante)

Previsão 43.33%2.31odd justa
EV -0.334%
Vantagem -0.145%
Kelly -0.257%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.65%43.40%43.32%45.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.34%46.51%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.23%3.96odd justa
EV -0.358%
Vantagem -0.091%
Kelly -0.121%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.27%25.22%25.24%27.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.693.703.9532.26%27.13%27.03%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV +2.50%E +0.766%K +1.11%G +0.028%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.06%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.23%EV -3.13%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 19:25
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-13 18:55
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.78%EV -6.40%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.52%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.52%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 12:34
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.94%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 19:15
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.27%E -3.40%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.27%E -3.40%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.27%E -3.40%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.27%E -3.40%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
LowVig.ag3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -1.90%E -0.610%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -0.358%E -0.091%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 19:21
BetOnline.ag3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -1.90%E -0.610%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -0.358%E -0.091%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 19:20
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.47%EV -2.85%E -0.921%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.41%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.12%EV -2.38%E -0.614%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-13 19:20
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 19:21
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.33%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:25
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:20
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:15
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.87%E -4.74%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.87%E -4.74%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 18:55
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.87%E -4.74%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 32.09%EV -5.05%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.14%EV -0.334%E -0.145%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.77%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 19:25
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.55%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 18:59
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:05
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 19:09
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 19:05
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 19:05
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 19:10
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.22%EV -5.10%E -2.33%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:15
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 19:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 19:05
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:55
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 19:05
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 19:01
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 19:05
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 19:20
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.93%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.93%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 19:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 19:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.83%EV -10.30%E -4.98%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.95%EV -10.73%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 19:18
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 19:05
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.81%EV -11.60%E -5.69%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -12.97%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 18:55
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 18:55
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 19:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 19:00
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 19:15
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 19:00
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.95%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-13 19:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -11.17%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.33%E -6.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -21.80%E -7.03%K -10.38%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-13 19:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-05-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-05-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.24%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-05-13 19:15
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-05-13 19:10