مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alavés v Barcelona

البداية: 2026-05-13 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Alavés 1–0 Barcelona

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alavés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.44%3.18السعر العادل
EV +2.50%
الأفضلية +0.766%
Kelly +1.11%
النمو +0.028%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.98%31.38%31.44%32.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.023.003.2635.71%33.08%33.33%30.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barcelona (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.33%2.31السعر العادل
EV -0.334%
الأفضلية -0.145%
Kelly -0.257%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.65%43.40%43.32%45.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.34%46.51%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.23%3.96السعر العادل
EV -0.358%
الأفضلية -0.091%
Kelly -0.121%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.27%25.22%25.24%27.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.693.703.9532.26%27.13%27.03%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV +2.50%E +0.766%K +1.11%G +0.028%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.06%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.23%EV -3.13%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 19:25
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-13 18:55
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.78%EV -6.40%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.52%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.52%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.971%G +0.021%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 12:34
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.94%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 19:15
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.27%E -3.40%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.27%E -3.40%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.27%E -3.40%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -0.960%E -0.305%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.27%E -3.40%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
LowVig.ag3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -1.90%E -0.610%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -0.358%E -0.091%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 19:21
BetOnline.ag3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -1.90%E -0.610%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -0.358%E -0.091%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 19:20
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.47%EV -2.85%E -0.921%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.41%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.12%EV -2.38%E -0.614%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-13 19:20
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 19:21
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.33%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:25
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:20
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:15
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.87%E -4.74%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.87%E -4.74%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 18:55
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.87%E -4.74%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 32.09%EV -5.05%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.14%EV -0.334%E -0.145%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.77%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 19:25
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.55%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 18:59
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:05
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 19:09
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 19:05
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 19:05
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 19:10
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.22%EV -5.10%E -2.33%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 19:15
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 19:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 19:05
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:55
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 19:05
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 19:01
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 19:05
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 19:20
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 19:20
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.93%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.93%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 19:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 19:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.83%EV -10.30%E -4.98%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.95%EV -10.73%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 19:18
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 19:05
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.81%EV -11.60%E -5.69%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -12.97%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 18:55
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 18:55
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 19:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 19:00
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 19:15
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 19:00
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.95%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-13 19:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -11.17%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.33%E -6.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -21.80%E -7.03%K -10.38%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-13 19:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-05-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-05-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.8%2026-05-13 19:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.24%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-05-13 19:15
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-05-13 19:10