Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utebo FC v Sabadell FC

2026-11-04 19:30 UTC — Copa del Rey

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utebo FC (Local)

Prediction 15.47%6.46fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.161%
Kelly +0.190%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 6.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.31%15.47%15.79%16.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.635.406.5318.87%17.76%18.52%15.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sabadell FC (Visit)

Prediction 60.82%1.64fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -7.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.78%60.82%60.48%61.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.481.5769.44%66.64%67.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.70%4.22fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.65%23.70%23.74%24.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.903.954.0027.03%25.65%25.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Utebo FC (Local): 15.47%; Sabadell FC (Visit): 60.82%; Draw: 23.70%. For Utebo FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.46. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.53, producing a positive expected value of +1.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.53I 15.31%NM 14.31%EV +1.05%E +0.161%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86%EV -8.16%E -5.40%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.83%EV -7.09%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 07:09
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -7.15%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.51%E -2.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.19%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 05:44
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -7.15%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.51%E -2.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.19%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.15%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -4.51%E -2.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.56%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 05:50
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.15%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.30%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-02 04:19
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.15%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.41%E -8.62%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-02 07:09
Pinnacle🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 15.78%EV -12.57%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.25%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 23.97%EV -11.83%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-02 07:00
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.89%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-02 02:45
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.98%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -6.38%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-02 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.98%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -6.38%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-02 05:45
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.98%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -6.38%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-02 05:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.98%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -6.38%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-02 05:44
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.98%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -6.38%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-02 05:45
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.98%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -6.38%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-02 05:50
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.98%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -6.38%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-02 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.98%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -6.38%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-02 05:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.